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What if he goes along with republican proposals to privatize medicare, pass a tax cut that does almost nothing for the folks that supported him but does everything for people at the top, can't really do the kind of trade stuff he's talking about that wouldn't restore jobs in any event, is he going to face a reaction? so these are some of the big questions that he's going to have to face, and the real question is whether or not two years from now, three years from now "time" could again name him person of the year. >> obviously they potentially could. robert, i have said all along that donald t...

>> i would ask you, mark, about ohio. we've sat here for weeks and said this is really going to come down to ohio. that poll was two points. the president has had some polls over the last week that showed him with a bigger lead. where are you hearing this race is right now? >> it depends. where can republicans look for hope, a lot of these polls the president's ahead, but governor romney's doing well with independents. and whoever wins independents in ohio's going to win, probably. almost certainly. and i think that the president has -- >> wait, let me stop you there. let me stop you there. >>...

Not this era. but axelrod, could you have gotten a worse picture of axelrod? >> i look like a mix between ron burgundy and carlos slim. i'm a really big deal. >> let's go to ohio. >> you know what san diego means in german. go ahead. let's go to ohio. in ohio, the president's holding a two-point lead according to a "columbus dispatch" poll, leading 50%-48%. that's also a really good poll, isn't it? >> yeah, that's a good poll for him. he is at 50%. that's where he needs to be. if he's at 47%, i think he's in a lot of trouble. but 50%, he looks good. >> i'll tell you, another poll that's concer...

Democrats in the senate block it and, again, shut the government down and that will be on them, not on the republicans. >> jamie: that is interesting. is there a risk/reward analysis here? what do the house republicans have to lose by sticking to the pledge and seeing what democrats do in the senate? >> i think that you are exactly right, that that is absolutely the best possible scenario, because the worst thing that can happen is that democrats block it. and republicans can always go into the next election, saying we kept our promise and we were the adults, we made these proposed cuts, obvio...

They are going to say what are you doing here when you have done nothing to prevent a tax increase in january from taking effect? >> one person has said about congress, dude they left us. meaning got out of town obviously they haven't yet left but it is imminent. they will all be getting on flights tonight without doing the vote. "new york times" angry, republicans mad. this may not be the time to alienate the american voters. this may be bad timing. >> this may not be over. speaker pelosi called us back a week into the august recess and if they head out of town tonight without having done any...