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A study performed by Robbin Bastiaansen, Anna von der Heydt, the University of Utrecht, the Netherlands, and Peter Ashwin, the University of Exeter, UK, indicates that it could still be rather difficult to precisely determine the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity in complex climate models.
The findings of a recent mathematical analysis, of tipping in large, spatially heterogeneous systems, which natural systems like ice sheets, lakes, and forests often are, suggest that the consequences of crossing a tipping point might often be much subtler and less severe than generally assumed.
The consequences of crossing a tipping point might often be much more subtle and less severe than generally assumed.
E-Mail IMAGE: The approach of Bastiansen et al. results in more accurate estimations of long-term warming. view more Credit: TiPES/HP Climate researchers have found a simple but efficient way to improve estimations of ultimate global warming from complex climate models. The finding is relevant for the evaluation and comparison of climate models and thus for accurate projections of future climate change - especially beyond the year 2100. The study is published in Geophysical Research Letters by Dr. Robbin Bastiaansen and colleagues at the Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Resea...