Why are long-term bond yields so high? Even Jay Powell isn't sure
Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell said that we “don’t really know” why long-term bond yields have been going up.
Source: marketplace.org
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Data scientists predict stock returns with AI and online news
Researchers have built a new, interpretable machine-learning framework that captures stock- and industry-specific information and predicts financial returns with greater accuracy than traditional models.
Source: cornell.edu
Weekly Forecast, Dec. 30: Forward U.S. Treasury Yields Show Twin Peaks Near 5.05%
This week’s simulation shows that the most likely range for the 3-month U.S. Treasury bill yield in ten years is from 1% to 2%.
Source: seekingalpha.com
Weekly Forecast, December 23, 2022: Long-Term Forward U.S. Treasury Peak Jumps 0.20%
The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 125 trading days, widening this week to a negative 91 basis points.
Source: seekingalpha.com
Weekly Forecast, Dec. 9: Long-Term Forward U.S. Treasury Peak Stable At 4.75%
The negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread has now persisted for 115 trading days, with the spread steady this week at a negative 76 basis points.
Source: seekingalpha.com