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Now are taking some solace in the fact that the numbers are as close as they are. i talked to an ohio republican yesterday who said, look, you know, romney is consistently behind by a couple of points in ohio but they think there's a lot more undecided and softly committed voters in ohio than perhaps is believed. it's why one of the two or three remaining big moments matters for romney to reach out for voters. >> if the romney team is giving up on pennsylvania and michigan, florida has to be in the romney column. >> ohio is a tough state for governor romney. some people think they may need to ...

Florida, the most medicare sensitive state. let me let you in on how to follow this. here are the electoral numbers. what these numbers stand for, 237 electoral votes are in states we think are already leaning in the obama column. 191 electoral votes lean in the romney column. we have nine toss-up states. four in the atlantic coast here. three in the midwest, and two out west. but i want to show you the power of florida in this battle ground. if the president is able to ride medicare to florida, look at this, his 237 goes to 266. he's four short. you just give him new hampshire where he was ye...

Now, as governor romney and his running mate when they're here in new hampshire on monday, they will come here monday, ask him if that's fair. >> that's the president in new hampshire talking about the tax debate. talking about battle ground states being in new hampshire. chuck todd is over the at big screen with his device he keeps by his bed each night. as we look ahead, chuck, through the prism of the battle ground map and that road to the 207 electoral votes that you need to be president. >> let me just let you in on how to follow this. here are the electoral numberes. what these numbers s...

Colorado had old polling that showed it as a lean romney. now it's solid romney. interestingly, a new poll in connecticut, showing the state has drifted from solid obama to leaning obama and colorado with 9 votes had gone from lean obama to tass -- tossup. two things are not reflected in that map that are reality. look, south carolina, which, you know, the last poll we have there is from december. joe trippi and howard dean's former manager and bret baier and i discussed, we are going to put it in the romney column, raising his total by 9. i think we are likely toy see a change in the next wee...

Immediate impact. >> besides wisconsin i would say the industrial midwest, ohio, pennsylvania, michigan and i also think, for example, iowa and colorado. iowa because, for example, there are large number of catholics, this is only the second catholic on republic presidential ticket in history and there are a bunch of catholics in the swing part of the state. iowa as you can see in the map is a toss-up. does in places like north carolina and colorado where, you know, a younger and northern virginia, where there is a younger electorate. young, fit family man, outdoor guy. appeal to independents ...