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That they have a problem with those voting segments. >> paul: you know, kim, i can't recall an election where both sides seem so convinced they're going to win coming in the final days, usually a concessions in 2008, mccain really doesn't have much of a chance, a hail mary. this time both sides seem convinced they're going to win. how do you explain that. >> i think both sides have two reasons to win. the 2008 turnout machine and some aspects that look like they'll get a decent job. but on the romney side, enthusiasm of voters and independents swinging to him in a huge way. it's important, it'...

But he suggests that he knows that they have a problem with those voting segments. >> paul: you know, kim, i can't recall an election where both sides seem so convinced they're going to win coming in the final days, usually a concessions in 2008, mccain really doesn't have much of a chance, a hail mary. this time both sides seem convinced they're going to win. how do you explain that. >> i think both sides have two reasons to win. the 2008 turnout machine and some aspects that look like they'll get a decent job. but on the romney side, enthusiasm of voters and independents swinging to him in a...

>> i think there's a sense that florida might be moving in romney's direction. structurally, that's always been the most problematic of the battleground states for obama. and if i were betting, i would bet romney carries florida. >> and we're hearing from the romney side that there's a bit of a head fake there. >> it may be. what a lot of strategists have told me is if you're going to make a play for a state, you need to do it at least three weeks before election day. so one week out, not even a full week, makes it tough. it might be too little too late for mitt romney where they are spending ...

>> campaigns still fighting for independent voters. here is how the numbers stand in the fox news poll. >> they are still coming down on the romney side of the equation. we are seeing things tighten up a little bit. if you look at single issues this has been one constant through out the xin. economic issues still dominate. 44 percent about where it was back in september. the race may hinge on that. the obama campaign is hoping that images like we saw yesterday, the president acting as commander-in-chief touring that storm damage in new jersey will help boost his numbers. >> what i can promise ...

Carries. >> not counting north carolina, well, colorado is going to be tough. i think of all the battleground states, that's probably the closest. >> give me the next two. >> new hampshire, and i think florida, although, i am more optimistic about florida. >> i'm sensing that. >> i think florida could be the odd surprise. >> jim? >> keep an eye on hispanic voters. >> that's what i agree. most pessimistic, romney side. what do you think? >> definitely nevada. definitely iowa. i guess wisconsin. wisconsin, ohio. they need one of those two. >> well, no. one of the other ones. either iowa or ohio ...