After a 0.1% surprise on U.S. inflation sent yields and the dollar back to pre-Christmas highs, even greater focus falls on the European Central Bank's perceived willingness to cut rates. Markets expect no changes at the ECB's policy meeting today, though it could signal that a rate cut is coming as soon as June. Prior to the U.S. inflation data, speculation that this might be uncomfortable, and that the ECB meeting presents hawkish risks, had supported the euro and, at $1.0745 in Asia on Thursday it has stayed above chart resistance at $1.0724.