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Yen weakened momentarily after BoJ left monetary policy unchanged as widely expected, but swiftly regained stability. This quick recovery underscores the market's assessment that the conditions for a BoJ rate hike in April remain intact. This viewpoint is bolstered by unchanged CPI core-core forecast, which holds steady at 1.9% for the upcoming two fiscal years. However, BoJ refrained from offering any immediate signals for such a policy shift. The decision on whether to raise interest rates will depend heavily on the outcomes of the Spring wages negotiations, especially in terms of the b...

Tuesday's market spotlight will be on the Bank of Japan.

Identifying a singular driving theme proves challenging In today's forex market. Japanese Yen made an attempt to rebound following BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting press conference, where he hinted at the potential of a future rate hike. However, this rebound was short-lived, and Yen soon reverted to its familiar tight trading range, indicating that the market is uncertain on when the anticipated rate move would happen. Dollar, despite being lower on the performance chart, is showing signs of gaining momentum against European majors as the market enters into the US session.

New Zealand and Australia Dollar rise appreciably in Asian session today , , buoyed by a significant rebound in stock markets of China and Hong Kong. This positive momentum is largely attributed to the ripple effects of China's larger-than-expected interest rate cut earlier in the week. Hang Seng Index, in particular, showcased a robust increase of around 3%, reflecting renewed investor confidence. This upbeat mood was further amplified by visible signs of China's "national team" ramping up efforts to stabilize the stock market through strategic interventions, evident from ...

Yen rebounds broadly in today's Asian trading session, buoyed by optimistic revisions in Japan's economic growth forecasts. The government, in its semi-annual economic report, upgraded its growth projections for both the current and next fiscal years. Forecast for fiscal 2023 was raised from 1.3% to 1.6%, while projection for fiscal 2024 saw an increase from 1.2% to 1.3%. Furthermore, core inflation in Japan is anticipated to slow down from current fiscal year's rate of 3.0% to 2.5% in the next fiscal year. That is, core inflation is projected to stay above BoJ's 2% target.