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Early. we talked about the national number. the state by state numbers are different, the unemployment rate in the state of ohio is at 7 percent and people feel better about the economy there. >> we interrupt fox news sunday to bring you this election special presentation about mitt romney, a live speech in pennsylvania. he is in bucks county, northeast of philadelphia. as we listen in, governor romney is trying to get this state to go red. >> i want to introduce the next first lady of the united states, my wife, ann romney. [ applause ] >> this is a thrill of a lifetime. this is amazing. what...

Conversation over the last year talking about redefining rape and legitimate rape and all these kind of things, has really been an insult to women. >> and largely on the right. >> also this question about birth control which many women thought wait a second, we resolved that. i have to tell you, i was in kansas and missouri last week and even conservative women were disgusted with the binders comment. i actually am not sure i think these national numbers are reflecting what's really going on with women because when you look at the state by state numbers, even the gallup data from last week sho...

Individual state numbers. we have no historical basis for comparison for a bunch of battlegrounds. we can look at national horse race numbers, aat this point they were here and today they're here. this gives us a way to compare the races. you can't do that with 12 random battleground states thrown together. you don't know when that number means am it's a random statistic that gets cited. spend the resources on polls that are actually useful. >> everybody listen to steve and do away with the polls. what does obama have to do and what does romney have to do tomorrow night? >> the biggest danger ...

That shows romney doing well over a long early time period that includes the days after the debate went well. it's consistent with state numbers that show bahama doing pretty well in the last two days but much worse on friday and saturday. it's also consistent with rasmussen which shows obama going back to predebate levels. so i think that the way you can synthesize all this is romney had a great couple of days after the debates, but now it's a little better for obama. >> you mentioned the state polls there. this is a question i'm sorting out and you wrote about it in the last few days. the co...

Florida's kind of an upsidedown state. the farther north you go, the deeper in the south you are. so the republican candidate does well in the north of florida and the democratic candidate generally does well in the south. and it's the middle, what we know as the i-4 corridor, where things are really fought out. >> i used to live there. i know it well. well, anne, september's job report came out on friday, and nationally, unemployment was down to 7.8% in september. state numbers come out in a couple of weeks. but in august, unemployment in florida was above the national rate by a whole point a...