Page 20 - State Polling News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

The story lines we're following tomorrow? >> i think polling has gotten a bad rap. it's generally been pretty accurate. frankly the last polls of the 2016 presidential election had hillary clinton up by three points. she won the popular vote by two points. the national polls were pretty accurate. there was a late break to trump at the end of the 2016 campaign. it's not that the polls were wrong it's that the voters were feeling differently. there were significant state polling errors especially in wisconsin. pollsters have learned some lesson about how they weight the polls. often when you con...

>> lisa: the generic ballot means less now than looking at these congressional districts and the state polling, and abc with the poll at 66, what they consider toss up, which not that many toss-up districts, and republican have a one point advantage, and then you look at the senate races in and overall, and then in the states that republicans are just sending come of the republicans are starting to take the lead and republican candidates have opened up where they are trying to take states like north dakota, missouri, so there is a real chance in the senate races that republicans will not only ...

Her through it. >> melissa: when it comes to the impact on senators running for reelection in states that president trump won, senator claire mccaskill facing off against republican challenger josh hawley in the recent missouri. mccaskill announced that she would vote against kavanaugh before last week's testimony. now, new state polling shows 49% of voters, the confirmation process says they will make them less likely to vote for her. 42% say it will make them more likely to vote for her, and only 9% say it makes apsley no difference whatsoever. charlie hurt, let me start with you. who do you...

Harry and i write about this. typically, the guy or gal who is in first who is ahead in early polling tends to be there right at the end. that's joe biden right now, ahead in national polling, early state polling and ahead, by the way -- it got missed, but by double digits over donald trump in general election polling. at this date, if you are betting, joe biden is your best bet. the question is he is 75 years old. does the party want that now? >> how old is trump? >> 72. >> there you go. all right. 70 is the new 40 apparently. harry, to you. what i noticed right away from there list, there's ...

November 7 through the 13th, asking if the election were today would you want to see the republican party of the democratic party win control of the house representatives, 38% said republican party, 51% said democratic party. you made more money but it doesn't seem like the sentiment is necessarily there, how do you respond to that? >> if we believed in state polling, hillary clinton would be president, not donald trump. we believe in the hidden trump voter that doesn't want to talk to a pollster, that doesn't want to talk to someone who belongs to an institution but who supports president tru...