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arctic blast paralyzed iowa. >> we have record cold weather, snowfall, record everything. >> nobody can forecast what the turnout is going to be. are we in for an iowa surprise? plus, mike in the middle. >> this place is a joke. republ republican threaten to shut down the government. >> we've wasted an entire week. >> if he doesn't show up, i guess we'll just have to wrap it up without him and assume that these were bribes. >> plus, replacing george santos. >> people are concerned about safety, about the economy. >> how much are biden and trump shaping races where they're not on the ...

Longer a party that can just play the game of the swing scenes. right? because the base is so critically important to their electoral success as well. right? this is always a both end proposition. not either/or. which is what puts them in a bind. you can't just placate the swing seats and at risk of alienating a base so much they don't turn up and you can't just juice your base where you lose the congress. so he has to constantly balance these things. i do think though mike lawler, right, a perfect example. they're not likely to be in the majority if lawler is losing his seat. i think that is ...