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Their approval numbers from the post inauguration, heady days. once you get to march and start governing, a lot of times the approval goes down. that happened toeraggen and clinten and george w bush. the daily tracking polls show it's starting to come back. i think there is reason that his approval numbers are coming back because you saw this week, in addition to the unfortunate sequester happening and those kids not being able to go to the white house, which is unfortunate, but the dow hit record highs, unemployment is its lowest in 4 1/2 years. net worth for american households is up. >> art...

Romney campaign made fun of, they have field offices we don't need field offices volunteers are data collectors. what they do is go door-to-door, take polls, ask you three questions, call you during dinner, that's coming in and refining statistical model so that you know the next door to knock on and smarter targeting that. if you're funneling it through and linking it to the large-scale polling krur doing continuously for microtargeting it is give you a granular understanding of the electorate than tracking polls are. >> this what is they did this time that they didn't last time. they had dat...

Home. the challenger tends to have more enthusiasm among his supporters. all those things are true. again, we are talking about a very close race. last week, sandy, the fact we spent four or five days talking about sandy and not the election clearly aided president obama. the downside of it was as pictures came out about all the suffering people were going through the initial warm response was probably eroded away. you got a sense of that in a couple of tracking polls towards the end of the election. jon: what a time for a election after a storm like that. karl rove, nobody knows the numbers b...

Minnesota deep. norm coleman and hubrert humphrey, ii. let's bring back our panel. i'll start with you, if you had a surprise that you think ventura asked that could come, and i'll tell you, on the monday before the election, ventura in tracking polls was coming but he was still in third place. >> i think we all know the latino vote is important. i think it's going to be a margin of victory and will reshape politics in colorado, nevada, florida and north carolina. and it could be the margin in several or even all four of those states which, in -- >> the president says it will be one or two of ...

>> do you still think that it's funny? >> president obama promised to slow the rise of the oceans? i would never imagine such a thing is funny. >> you know i tell the truth and you know i fight for working families every single day as hard as i know how. >> so that's it. that's the election. it is your choice, america, because, for me, it is a win-win. if it's obama, america wins. if it's romney, comedy wins. >> let's welcome our panel here at democracy plaza. krystal ball is my colleague and co-host of "the cycle." carol finney is former communications director for the democratic national com...