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The misconception that collapse is an  all or nothing phenomenon is common: Either the system rights itself with a bit of money-printing and rah-rah or it collapses into post-industrial ruin and gangs are battling over the last stash of canned beans. Neither scenario considers the fragility and resilience of the socio-economic system as a whole. It is both far more fragile than the believers in the permanence of the  waste is growth model grasp and more resilient than the  complete collapse prognosticators grasp. The recent relatively mild logjams in global supply chains of essentials...

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

That the era of stability has ended and a new era of increasingly chaotic volatility has begun is not on anyone's radar as a possibility. The standard debate about the future of the economy is: which will we get, high inflation or a deflationary collapse of defaults and asset bubbles popping? The debate goes round and round in widening circles of complexity as analysts delve into every nuance of the debate. A recent conversation with my friend A.T. raised  a third possibility few seem to consider: increasingly chaotic volatility will be the new normal, as wild swings between inflation and d...