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Like the overall threat is. >> according to catalyst more than 5.1 million voters have already cast just one time. this has been in 35 different states and the majority of votes are in battleground states. let's bring in mark preston, executive editor of cnn politics. mark, great to you here. so, what can we glean from what we little we know about this early voting? >> well, one thing chris and i talked about last hour was the idea that democrats have a better turnout machine, a better operation and that's really, really important. donald trump's candidacy was based upon his personality, as, a...

>> one thing trump's campaign is calculating, if they drag this campaign so far down into the mud, it will depress turnout such that they could get lucky and pick up a couple states or two because we know trump has electrified the smaller base of core supporters whereas clinton is banking on a turnout machine. >> i think she's got to go positive. i'm not the boss obviously. ashley? >> i think you're right. we also have to keep in mind if we weren't talking about trump right now, what we might be talking about are the -- >> e-mails. >> the hacked e-mails. so in a way she may not be going positi...

Views go mr. trump think about the democratic ad the longer he stays in the republican race. he is a turnout machine for the obama coalition. he still questions the presidentpresident a president's birth certificate. now he's insulting women. >> just spit on some young voters and we'd be done. that's essentially the problem for the establishment which said we need to do as a party to win presidential elections and the prescriptions were just as you said, make things right with these groups. it's amazing how can you have 16 other candidates trying to make progress in that area but when you've g...

Republicans, but we're seeing more democratic votes proportionally being cast in that race and possibly eating up some of the republican margin of registration. republicans hold a slighter edge in registration in the district. but polls seem to show that alex cink is going to win this. >> tactically, it seems like democrats -- in fact, i've been ahead of the republicans on this issue for years. in florida. the recent years, going back to 2008, that they essentially, obama carried the state both times, arguably on tactics and performance onto ground. >> right. the republican party of florida tu...

Ballot poll tests for an election that will never take place. these elections at the end of the day, even if there is a national wave are 435 individual races. and there are a lot of republicans sitting in marginal districts who have better personal brands. by many, many points. you think of some of these districts particularly in the northeast where a lot of socially moderate republicans do well. that really makes democrat's job of getting of seats they need a lot tougher. >> you look at new jersey and that can show you that. obviously, how do they use the obama turnout machine to benefit the...