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Was it sabotage, was it some kind of hijacking? we do not know the answer to that. nobody at the moment really knows the answer to that. because they have no definitive intelligence or information that leads them to believe it was an act of terrorism, sabotage, a deliberate act, pilot suicide, any of the theories we've all heard for the last several days. what they do have is data, information now, technical, highly technical data that tells them the likely path of the plane. in other words where it is not why and how it exactly got there. there is also a very key radar blip if you will from t...

Which is a company that disperses the information. but that information then goes to rolls royce, it goes to boeing, it goes to the manufacturer from there. so to me the pings are very viable. it's what should be happening. what's confusing to me, two things that are confusing to me about that is that those pings that are coming off of there, why then is there not a transponder still on? that was turned off. that's the only explanation i would have. because if the electrical system failed to the extent where there's no communication, there's no satcom, no uhf, vhf, way for that pilot to commun...

The point of the piece was to investigate the question could it be done. the answer is no reason that it couldn't be done so far. obvious lit clues are still emerging. there's another element. you've got over 200 souls on board this plane that are worth something to somebody. >> let me get to arnold barnett, $37 million not pounds i should clarify. forgot where i was for a moment. arnold barnett, in terms of statistics this is your area of expertise at mit. statistics don't always answer stories obviously. but what is the most likely theory or theories based on statistics about all the informa...

Ground and is on land. well, that didn't go off. and also i wonder where it is. just like everybody else. >> okay. let me turn now to david suse, former faa safety inspector. we don't have the answers here. this is one of the great mysteries in aviation history and gets more mysterious by the day. having said that we have more information than we seem to have had at any stage in this week. if you take the assumption that these pings -- it's interesting i thought what jim tillman just said, the pings themselves, is that correct? do you know when they are supposed to go off? do they go off when ...

Something to somebody. >> let me get to arnold barnett, $37 million not pounds i should clarify. forgot where i was for a moment. arnold barnett, in terms of statistics this is your area of expertise at mit. statistics don't always answer stories obviously. but what is the most likely theory or theories based on statistics about all the information we now know? >> well, the statistics don't offer any clear indication of what's happened. partly because we're not even sure of the facts. the event that seems to me most similar to this or might be most similar to this involved ethiopian airlines i...