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“From the record of past earthquakes, we can determine that the probability of a magnitude-7 or higher event is about 75 per cent in the next 50 years. So we now know the chances of seeing a large Alpine Fault earthquake in our lifetime are better than a coin toss. That is a really significant result, but we can’t forecast the magnitude of the next event from these data alone,’ Howarth said.
One of the researchers’ findings is that a curious “earthquake gate” on the fault south of Jackson Bay, near Martyr River, appears to determine how large an Alpine Fault earthquake gets. ....

New Zealand General , New Zealand , United States , Milford Sound , Jackson Bay , Martyr River , South Island , Southern Alps , Cloudy Bay , Jamie Howarth , Cook Strait , Herenga Waka , University Of California , Victoria University , Earth Sciences , Victoria University School Of Geography , University Of Otago , Victoria University Of Wellington , United States Geological , Alpine Fault , United States Geological Survey , புதியது ஜீலாந்து ஜநரல் , புதியது ஜீலாந்து , ஒன்றுபட்டது மாநிலங்களில் , மில்ஃபோர்ட் ஒலி , ஜாக்சன் வளைகுடா ,