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The top republican on the panel, doug collins of georgia and democrat hakim jeffries of new york, only on "fox news sunday." then -- >> very encouraging but we'll not let it go to our heads. >> the same answer as always been i don't do polling. chris: buttigieg up, warren down. we'll ask our sunday panel about the top tier of 2020 democratic candidates getting reshuffled, all right now on "fox news sunday." ♪ chris: hello again from fox news in washington. president trump returns to the white house after a surprise trip to afghanistan and some golf in that. right away he faces tough choices....

Matters. despite the impeachment inquiry low national approval rate, the president remains competitive. >> here with us to talk about it all, our senior political analyst and writer harry enten. good morning. >> good morning. >> they say, some say, if you will. >> that state polls, battleground state polls are more telling than national polls. >> yeah. i think this is rather important, right. we've had all these nationwide polls, right, biden, sanders, warren, all leading trump. remember in 2016 those key battleground polls in the electoral college that put trump over the top, "the new york ti...

We're seeing this big sort of gap between national polls and the six closest states. trump is more competitive electoral college. >> go state by state and note that biden edge over the other democratic frontrunners. >> let's break it down by the sort of individual states. i think this is important. michigan, a key battleground state, very difficult to poll, what do we see there? we see that biden is up by one. sanders up by three. warren down by four. look at pennsylvania, biden up one, sanders down one, warren is also down two there. wisconsin, look at this. this is a key state in 2016. biden...

In the six closest states trump won, he won by a point. let's flip forward to 2020 at the polls that have recently come out. so if you look at -- in october an average of polls nationally you see all the leading democrats, biden, sanders, warren, leading by anywhere from 5 to 8 points, but look at the six closest states that trump won, according it new polling from "the new york times" and siena college, we see biden up by one, but sanders down by one and warren down by three. those are within the margin of error. we see biden is doing better than sanders or warren. take a look at these northe...

The southern battleground states. these are arizona, florida, north carolina, what do we see there? we see biden up in arizona by two, up in florida a very important swing state by two, north carolina all the democrats are trailing trump from two to four, but again, warren doing the worst out of any of the democrats tied in arizona, down by four in florida. look at that difference. biden up by two, but warren down by four in florida and in north carolina again, all trailing. now you might be asking yourself is this name recognition? joe biden being so well known versus elizabeth warren and iow...