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arizona, you're in "the situation room." this just coming in. on the eve of the new nuclear weapons showing that just how tight the race is. take a look 32% say rick san storm, but with the sampling eras that's constituentically a tie. ron paul coming in at 6%, let's go in depth right now with our chief political analyst gloria borger and depend can i washington bureau chief michael crowley. gloria, first you. arizona we all thought was supposed to be relatively easy for mitt rom in, but this a week before the primary is a horse race. >> nothing succeeds like success. rick santorum h...

you know, there's all these wonderful things. ♪ >> kelly mcfarling, thank you. you can always check out my blog for all our music monday interviews. just go to cnn/brooke. now this. here we go, top of the hour. i'm brooke baldwin. a couple stories we're watching for you. first, which republican hopeful will best challenge barack obama? also the latest on the cruise ship investigation, and a glitch on a very popular web site, and snow projected to cover half the united states this week. jim costa, i'll begin with you in myrtle beach. are you near that coalition group at which romn...

palestinian territories with isra israel. 1,027 israeli -- palestinian prisoners held in israeli jails will be swapped for just one israeli soldier, gilad shalit, arrested in gaza five years ago. a lot of anticipation, excitement here in gaza for that to take place, in israel a lot of concern that too much of was given away for the release of just one man, brooke. >> when do we know yet we can expect the exchange to take place? >> reporter: they're keeping those details very much under wraps, at least here on the sort of palestinian side of things. we're expecting in about nine hours...

island in new york. >> on long island irene's storm surge flooded downtown long beach. some streets in manhattan also flooding but the water started to recede and new york's evacuation order is being lifted this hour. in its sweep up the coast irene has killed 15 people across six states. more than 4 million people overall without power and these amazing pictures show some of the damage when irene made landfall as a hurricane. for place like new york city, the storm wasn't as bad as many feared but as janet napolitano said earlier today, it's not over yet. >> no matter where you are ...

and now, this is the man who allegedly strapped that thing in place in hopes of prying money out her parents. paul doug peters, age 51, an australian finance executive. paul doug peters arrested yesterday outside of louisville, kentucky, by a local fbi swat team in connect with the case that has gripped australia for nearly two weeks. let me take you back to august 3rd. this was the scene in a wealthy enclave outside of sidney where this sl-year-old spent a heldish ten hours. she was fearing this mechanism would explode. it turned out to be a hoax. but the assailant's demands were ve...