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All the difference. Taking a live look outside on this thursday morning. We are keeping a close eye on your forecast and we are looking live , you can see over the water not too much rain. It is pretty dry in the bay. You may want to grab the rain jacket and just a couple hours as that is going to change. In the sierra storm could bring record amounts of single day snowfall. Caltrans is warning drivers to please stay off the road. The agency says they are prepared for conditions to get to dangerous for the workers, but they hope it does not come to that. It is pretty much their job to keep the roads open. At all times. They definitely have safety protocols in place. And most of the time these guys are in vehicles and at least they are in a closed environment. They are not exactly out side , necessarily all the time. The department of Water Resources also preparing for the storm. They moved up their third snow survey of the season ....
Of incremental issuance next year, we think that the recipe for a steeper curve. Is unlikely the curve ends next year steeper than it is currently . Highly unlikely unless the fed puts the rate hikes on ice or starts to ease. Very unlikely scenario. Very much likely contining to flatten. In that environment we of the paint strong growth, inflation maybe ticks up a little bit. It doesnt get out of control. The yield curve continues to flatten. Critically, it does not invert. Im worried about it, too. I think we need to watch it. The 10year treasury, high 230s is meaningful. Here is why. The history of inversions is such that it is tending to be a reliable forward indicator of recession. Whatever you think about the way the world is supposed to work, it does not work that way in the last two weeks of the year. Yes, yields have been going up. I think its a function of very Strong Equity markets. If they were to correct, they would go ....
Foreign competition for treasuries. When you add in the 700 billion next year, we think that the recipe for a steeper curve. Is it likely the curve ends steeper than it is currently . Highly unlikely unless the fed puts the rate hikes on ice or starts to ease. Very unlikely scenario. Very much likely contining to flatten. In that environment we paint strong growth. Inflation maybe ticks up a little bit. The yield curve continues to flatten. Critically, it does not invert. Im worried about it, too. I think we need to watch it. The 10year treasury, high 230s is meaningful. The history of inversions is such that it is tending to be a reliable forward indicator of recession. Whatever you think about the way the world is supposed to work, it does not work that way in the last two weeks of the year. Yes, yields have been going up. I think its a function of very Strong Equity markets. If they were to correct, they would go back down. I wa ....
Is it likely the curve ends steeper than it is currently . Highly unlikely unless the fed puts the rate hikes on ice or starts to ease. Very unlikely scenario. Very much likely contining to flatten. In that environment we paint strong growth. Inflation maybe ticks up a little bit. The yield curve continues to flatten. Critically, it does not invert. Im worried about it, too. I think we need to watch it. The 10year treasury, high 230s is meaningful. The history of inversions is such that it is tending to be a reliable forward indicator of recession. Whatever you think about the way the world is supposed to work, it does not work that way in the last two weeks of the year. Yes, yields have been going up. I think its a function of very Strong Equity markets. If they were to correct, they would go back down. I want to see them stay there after the first of the year. Jonathan joining me in new york city is greg peters, george goncalves, ....
The reality is this curve should stephen steepen because of less foreign competition for treasuries. When you add in the 700 billion next year, we think that the recipe for a steeper curve. Is it likely the curve ends next year steeper than it is currently . Highly unlikely unless the fed puts the rate hikes on ice or starts to ease. Very unlikely scenario. Very much likely contining to flatten. In that environment we paint strong growth. Inflation maybe ticks up a little bit. Does not get out of control, so the yield curve continues to flatten. Critically, it does not invert. Im worried about it, too. I think we need to watch it. The 10year treasury, high 230s is meaningful. The history of inversions is such that it is tending to be a reliable forward indicator of recession. Whatever you think about the way the world is supposed to work, it does not work that way in the last two weeks of the year. Yes, yields have been going up. I think its a function of very New York , United States , Matt Toms , Greg Peters , Matt Toms Greg , Way Last , Strong Equity , York City , Get Away , Many People , Long Live , Central Banks , Front End , Basis Points , Market Driven , Layer Top , Good Time , Will Phillips , Unemployment Rate , Structural Forces , Tax Plan , Corporate Bond , Bond Market , Toys R Us , R Us , Strong Performance ,