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So the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio, he honestly has to put together a hard combination of colorado and virginia and florida and, and, and. but if he wins ohio he has a clearer shot of winning the white hous...

In florida, the same poll shows a 4-point swing for romney. he's up by 2 points. so the major fall or minor lift, however, you rattle the number lose, as the overall national polling shifts and the swing state races shift with them, the state where the romney campaign is hoping for the biggest shift of all is in ohio. in modern political history, ohio has been the path to the presidency for republican candidates. if republican candidates win ohio, they win the white house. if mitt romney doesn't win ohio, he honestly has to put together a hard combination of colorado and virginia and florida a...

Nevada, colorado, virginia, north carolina, all of these swing states that were close, i think if ryan/romney have a couple more good debates, those all go in the romney column. that was a freudian slip. but at the end of the day, though, the question is committee make up the big difference in ohio? can he make up the big difference in wisconsin? because if he doesn't win ohio, he's got to win wisconsin. the romney people still think he can. after that debate and after barack obama's performance, which was staggeringly bad. >> all right. >> no, i mean it. >> he's right. >> okay. >> i'm hearing...

If you take ohio out of the republican column, john heilemann, no republican's ever won the white house without winning ohio. things become much more difficult. if you lose ohio as mitt romney, you've got to win virginia, new hampshire, colorado, you've got to win nevada. you've got to run the board, basically. >> well, remember, go back to what karl rove said at the beginning of the general election, which was this 3, 2, 1 concept, that romney had to win back big states that obama had won. he had to win back florida, had to win back north carolina, had to win back virginia, had to win ohio, a...

>> reporter: why the wait? for 1,300 voters here, just 2 ballot boots available. >> people were voting about 40 per hour, so you do the math. >> in the '04 election, republican president george w. bush won the crucial state of ohio with 50.8% of the vote. and he won a second term in office. in certain parts of ohio, for certain groups of people who tend to lean democratic, voting in that election that year meant waiting if lines for ten hours or more. for voters in mostly african-american precincts voting was like an endurance event. in precincts used by college students, voting was an all day...