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Here's Why America's Labor-Shortage Will Drive Inflation Higher – Investment Watch - Vimarsana News

Here's Why America's Labor-Shortage Will Drive Inflation Higher – Investment Watch

Great swaths of the American workforce are already on strike or slipping away from the dead-end treadmill. America’s labor shortage is complex and doesn’t lend itself to the simplistic expectations favored by media talking heads. The Wall Street cheerleaders extol the virtues of “getting America back to work” which is Wall-Street-speak for  getting back to exploiting workers to maximize corporate profits. Long-term demographics have combined with cultural changes and Covid-Lockdown epiphanies to completely re-order America’s labor force beneath the superficial surface of “re-ope...

The $50 Trillion Plundered from Workers by America's Aristocracy Is Trickling Back – Investment Watch - Vimarsana News

The $50 Trillion Plundered from Workers by America's Aristocracy Is Trickling Back – Investment Watch

As I often note here, when you push the pendulum to an extreme of wealth and income inequality, it will swing to the opposite extreme minus a tiny bit of friction. The depth of America’s indoctrination can be measured by the unquestioned assumption that Capital should earn 15% every year, rain or shine, while workers are fated to lose ground every year, rain or shine. And if wages should ever start ticking upward even slightly, then the Billionaires’ Apologists are unleashed to shout that higher wages means higher inflation, which will kill the economic “recovery.” Said another way:...

Housing Bubble #2: Ready to Pop? – Investment Watch - Vimarsana News

Housing Bubble #2: Ready to Pop? – Investment Watch

All debt-fueled speculative bubbles pop, even as cheerleaders claim otherwise. The expansion of Housing Bubble #2 is clearly visible in these two charts of house valuations, courtesy of the St. Louis Federal Reserve database (FRED). The first is the Case-Shiller Index, which as you recall tracks the price of homes on an “apples to apples” basis, i.e. it tracks price movements for the same house over time. Note that this is an index chart where the index is set at 100 as of January 2000. It is not a chart of median housing prices. The second chart is also a housing price index chart cour...

The Systemic Risk No One Sees – Investment Watch - Vimarsana News

The Systemic Risk No One Sees – Investment Watch

The unraveling of social cohesion has consequences. Once social cohesion unravels, the nation unravels. My recent posts have focused on the systemic financial risks created by Federal Reserve policies that have elevated moral hazard (risks can be taken without consequence) and speculation to levels so extreme that they threaten the stability of the entire financial system. These risks are well known, though largely ignored in the current speculative frenzy. But there is another systemic risk which few if any see: the collapse of social cohesion. President Carter was prescient in his understa...

The People Have Lost Faith in the State, and the State Has Lost Faith in its People – Investment Watch - Vimarsana News

The People Have Lost Faith in the State, and the State Has Lost Faith in its People – Investment Watch

Democracy is fundamentally about advocacy: the people are free to  advocate for their interests and form groups to represent their shared interests. In the broadest scope, the people are free to advocate for what they hold as the  common good, policies and programs that benefit the entire populace rather than one special-interest group. Since the state (all levels of government) concentrates wealth and power via taxation and a monopoly on force, groups advocate/lobby the state to recognize and respond to their interests. At the local level, this advocacy entails contacting city council me...