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The Systemic Risk No One Sees – Investment Watch

The unraveling of social cohesion has consequences. Once social cohesion unravels, the nation unravels.
My recent posts have focused on the systemic financial risks created by Federal Reserve policies that have elevated moral hazard (risks can be taken without consequence) and speculation to levels so extreme that they threaten the stability of the entire financial system.
These risks are well known, though largely ignored in the current speculative frenzy.
But there is another systemic risk which few if any see: the collapse of social cohesion.
President Carter was prescient in his understanding that a nation’s greatest strength is its social cohesion, a cohesion that America’s unprecedented wealth / income / power inequalities has undermined. Consider this excerpt from his 1981 Farewell Address: ....

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Increasingly Chaotic Volatility Ahead–The New Normal Few Think Possible – Investment Watch

Increasingly Chaotic Volatility Ahead–The New Normal Few Think Possible – Investment Watch
investmentwatchblog.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from investmentwatchblog.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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Do We Really Want to Return to "Normal" If "Normal" Is Destroying the Planet? – Investment Watch

Do We Really Want to Return to "Normal" If "Normal" Is Destroying the Planet? – Investment Watch
investmentwatchblog.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from investmentwatchblog.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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Which Lifeboat Will You Choose?

I m sure it s no surprise that the next five years will be risky and challenging; to the degree that we will be reliant on those closest to us, we are sharing a virtual lifeboat.
Consider a scenario in which we re on a ship that s sinking, and the lifeboats have been launched. Being some of the last still on board the doomed vessel, we can scan who s in each lifeboat and choose which one we ll clamber into.
It s a consequential decision because the currents and weather are already separating the lifeboats, and so each lifeboat will be on its own. The seas are increasingly treacherous, and the nearby islands are surrounded by reefs which could shred the lifeboat s hulls in seconds. ....

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America's Fatal Synergies – Investment Watch

America’s financial system and state are themselves the problems, yet neither system is capable of recognizing this or unwinding their fatal synergies.
why do some systems/states emerge from crises stronger while similar systems/states collapse? Put another way: take two very similar political-social-economic systems/nation-states and two very similar crises, and why does one system not just survive but emerge better adapted while the other system/state fails?
The answer lies in what author Geoffrey Parker termed
Fatal Synergies and
Benign Synergies in his book Global Crisis: War, Climate Change, & Catastrophe in the Seventeenth Century. Synergy results from “interactions that produce a combined effect greater than the sum of their separate effects.” In other words, 2 + 2 + 2 + 2 = 8 is linear, while synergy is 2 X 2 X 2 X 2 = 16. ....

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