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Unconvincing Rally, U.S. Dollar, Friday's 800-Pound Gorilla, Playing Pepper Everything came up roses Monday -- except for what matters most, broad participation. Mar 02, 2021 | 07:54 AM EST All systems go? Not quite. You knew that I'd find something wrong with Monday's rally. I mean everything came up roses -- except, that is, for what matters most, that being broad participation. Too bad. The prices sure did look nice. To make it stick, we'll need what is known as a "follow through" day and right now, as darkness reigns, equity index futures feel quite heavy. That said, price discove...

What's Up at the Fed? Supply & Demand, 12 Trading Notes, Microsoft Conference Should we care about Australia's central bank taking overtly aggressive action to reign in the long end of their yield curve? Yes, we should. Mar 01, 2021 | 07:55 AM EST Shot heard round the world? Like the crack of a bat on a sunny summer afternoon. Like the gust of wind that seems to come out of nowhere and blow your garbage cans across the street. Like discovering a small plastic toy when cleaning out the garage, a toy that is probably far older than you are yourself and instantly reminds you of "Grandma...

Bond Dog Returns, Market's Boxing Lesson, Possible Fed Next Moves The equity markets got bopped in the nose Thursday and were sent reeling. Stocks quotes in this article: DKNG, FL, LAMR Vigilantes Jim Cramer mentioned the term "bond vigilantes" in his piece on Thursday afternoon. It had been a while since I had heard the term, so long in fact that I doubt very many of these bond vigilantes are those bond vigilantes. Equity markets sure could use an appearance by the late Dan Dorfman on CNN right about now. One thing is certai...

CME Group Announces Record Ultra 10-Year Note And 30-Year Bond Futures Volumes On February 23 Date 25/02/2021 CME Group, the world's leading and most diverse derivatives marketplace, today announced that Ultra 10-Year Note futures reached a record volume of 1.7 million contracts on  February 23, surpassing the previous record of 1.5 million set on  February 25, 2020.  A record 1.8 million 30-Year Bond futures contracts were also traded on  February 23, passing the prior record of 1.7 million set on  February 25, 2020. Additionally, Ultra 10-Year Note futures reached numerous open i...

The Suppressed Economy, Impressive Earnings, U.S. Treasury Curve, Pandemic Watch I want you to think about how quickly the long end of the U.S. Treasury curve is moving. Feb 22, 2021 | 07:38 AM EST After The Winter (excerpt) Where towers the cotton tree An leaps the laughing crystal rill And works the droning bee And we will build a cottage there Beside an open glade And ferns that never fade - Claude McKay (2003) Pressure I think, maybe that it was not just me. Financial markets are reaching for an inflection point... changing rapidly while equity markets for the most part stood in ...