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Where to Shop in the Consumer Discretionary Sector


Where to Shop in the Consumer Discretionary Sector
May 12, 2021
CFRA today lowered our recommended exposure to the S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary sector to marketweight from overweight. CFRA Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall noted that with commodity prices, wage pressures, transportation/freight rates, and numerous other factors pressuring costs, profit margins for the sector are likely to be squeezed. In addition, Fed Chair Powell recently said it was unlikely that supplemental unemployment payments from the federal government would extend past September. CFRA thinks this could cause consumers to start to pull back on discretionary spending. Even though the sector is expected to record 2021 EPS growth of 39%, according to S&P Capital IQ’s Consensus Estimates, vs. the S&P 500’s projected 31% growth rate, the sector sports the highest absolute P/E premium of all 11 sectors, based on next 12-month EPS estimates. Finally, Stovall added that Consumer Discretionary ....

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Consumer Cyclicals Are Still in Style with This Equal Weight ETF


Consumer Cyclicals Are Still in Style with This Equal Weight ETF
May 10, 2021
Last Friday’s jobs report was a dud and arguably one of the biggest disappointments for that data point on record, but investors shouldn’t jump to the conclusion that cyclical stocks should be abandoned.
Actually, the case remains compelling for exchange traded funds like the
“The good news for us is that the U.S. consumer is on one of their heathiest footings in decades, particularly relative to past periods immediately following recessions,” according to BlackRock research. “It’s no secret that the massive government transfers over the past year have been a boon for consumer incomes, with disposable income growth meaningfully higher in 2020 vs. 2019 (which compares favorably to the consistent decline in incomes we saw throughout 2008 and into 2009).” ....

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