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Stock Market: Stock bulls bet it all on earnings guesses with troubled record

You’re never sure what earnings seasons will bring. Hence their volatility. But one thing is certain about the first-quarter results about to be disclosed. They couldn’t matter less to the market’s current valuations.
And while it’s a Wall Street cliche that “the guidance is what matters,” that view is being taken to absurd extents right now, when the S&P 500 is pricing in profits that virtually cannot materialize in two years. That’s a level of faith in the future that history gives little basis for justifying.
Here’s the math. Based on existing analyst forecasts for earnings in all of 2021, the S&P 500 trades at almost 24 times estimates, among its highest valuations ever. To bring the multiple down to its long-term average of 16 times annual profits, companies in the gauge will have to make about 15% more than the equity researchers currently expect them to earn in 2023. ....

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bitcoin rally: Bitcoin rally faces potential test from falling market liquidity

By Joanna Ossinger
The rally in Bitcoin that took the digital token to a fresh peak over the weekend could face a test from declining liquidity in the market for the largest cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin rose as high as $58,350 on Sunday before retreating to about $56,200 as of 2:30 p.m. in Tokyo on Monday. The token has roughly tripled in the past three months but its liquidity has deteriorated, according to Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, a strategist at JPMorgan Chase & Co.
“Market liquidity is currently much lower for Bitcoin than in gold or the S&P 500, which implies that even small flows can have a large price impact,” he wrote in a note on Friday. ....

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Bitcoin prices today: Bitcoin tumbles below $50,000 after Elon Musk says that prices are excessive

By Anchalee Worrachate and Olivia Raimonde
Elon Musk’s embrace of Bitcoin earlier this month week rocketed the cryptocurrency almost 50% higher to more than $58,000. His cold shoulder this weekend whipsawed the largest digital asset.
Bitcoin trimmed losses to 8% after plunging as much as 17% earlier Monday. It briefly came back below $50,000 in New York, giving up more than $8,000 in a matter of hours after the world’s richest man tweeted his concern that the price had risen too high too quickly.
“Whatever he (Elon) does is going to dominate the news stream,” said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda Corp ....

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JPMorgan board holds CEO Jamie Dimon's annual pay at $31.5 million

JPMorgan board holds CEO Jamie Dimon s annual pay at $31.5 million
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Last Updated: Jan 22, 2021, 10:15 AM IST
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Dimon s total compensation will include the same annual base salary of $1.5 million and a performance-based incentive of $30 million, according to a regulatory filing.
Reuters
JPMorgan Chase & Co Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon
NEW YORK- JPMorgan Chase & Co Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon will not get a raise in his annual pay and will receive $31.5 million for his work in 2020, the bank said on Thursday.
Dimon s total compensation will include the same annual base salary of $1.5 million and a performance-based incentive of $30 million, according to a regulatory filing. ....

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JPMorgan's profit jumps as investment banking business recovers

The New York-based bank earned a profit of $12.14bn in Q4 ....

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