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No Immediate End To QE – Investment Watch

Fed policy is starting to become a hot topic amongst investors because of the spike in inflation. There would be even more calls for an end to QE and a rate hike if the April jobs report had met expectations. Even still, reports like the Philly Fed manufacturing prices reading show there is some pressure on the Fed to move hawkishly. The good news for the Fed is the 10 year yield is only at 1.61%. There is nothing destabilizing about the 10 year yield being at the same level it was at in 2012.
The Fed’s biggest worry besides its main goals of keeping employment high and inflation moderate is probably the decline in the dollar. The dollar index is at $89.85 which is very close to a 6.5 year low. Higher rates and tapering QE would strengthen the dollar. Ending bond buying would lower demand for treasuries directly. However, hawkish policy would suppress long term rates because it would mitigate inflation and economic growth. ....

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The Great Jobs Reset

February 28, 2021 | The Great Jobs Reset
John Mauldin
John Mauldin is a renowned financial expert, a
New York Times best-selling author, and a pioneering online commentator. Each week, over 1 million readers turn to Mauldin for his penetrating view on Wall Street, global markets, and economic history.
We are almost through February and (knocking on wood) the US COVID-19 situation is improving daily. The B117 and other variants haven’t yet made a big impact. Possibly they will, but as time passes more people are getting at least partial protection through vaccines. The “race” I’ve described seems to be going the way we hoped. ....

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