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India's Covid-19 curve turns as business activity dips to June 2020 levels

India s Covid-19 curve turns as business activity dips to June 2020 levels
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Synopsis
Daily cases fell 15% sequentially for the week ended May 16, as major affected states like Maharashtra, Karnataka, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh reported fewer new infections, according to Crisil.
Agencies
Along with mobility, other economic indicators have worsened in May as the unemployment rate jumped to 14.4% from 8.7% a week earlier while power consumption fell by about 4% for the fourth consecutive week, according to Nomura.
India’s Covid-19 curve has turned for the first time since the second wave began to take over the country as increasing lockdown restrictions appear to have moderated caseloads although improvements have come at the cost of mobility and economic activity. ....

Uttar Pradesh , Aurodeep Nandi , Nomura India Business Resumption Index , Sonal Varma , Covid Second Wave , உத்தர் பிரதேஷ் , சோனாள் வர்மா ,

Nomura pares FY22 growth estimate to 10.8%

‘Lockdowns to impact economy’
Japanese brokerage Nomura on Tuesday cut its GDP growth estimate for the current 2021-22 fiscal to 10.8% from the earlier 12.6%, blaming the impact of the second wave-induced lockdowns.
It said the activity levels have dropped further to 64.5% of the pre-pandemic levels in the week to May 9 as per a proprietary index, after a further 5 percentage points drop in the week.
The activity levels, at present, are at par with those seen in June last year.
The country has reported over 4 lakh new infections and 4,000 deaths a day during the ongoing second wave of the COVID-19 infections, leading over 20 States to impose lockdowns or lockdown-like restrictions as a desperate measure to restrict the virus spread. ....

Growth Estimate , வளர்ச்சி மதிப்பீடு ,

india gdp growth: Damage to GDP likely to be lesser this time, says Aurodeep Nandi of Nomura

Synopsis
The first wave came as a shock, and therefore the fall in GDP growth was pretty strong. But now, the economy and the consumers have more or less adapted to the pandemic, says the Nomura economist.
The first wave came as a shock, and therefore the fall in GDP growth was pretty strong, says Nandi.
Dr Aurodeep Nandi of Nomura says the fall in mobility indices has begun to reflect on other parts of the economy. Edited excerpts from his interview to ET Now:
ET Now: What does India s recent fall in the Nomura India Business Resumption Index suggest? Also, compared to the first lockdown, where are we? ....

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Smallcap stocks: Smallcap tyre firm shows going gets tougher for India Inc

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NEW DELHI: The auto sector, and by extension auto ancillaries, were cruising on a highway a couple of months back, but as a devastating second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic surfaced, these stocks have hit a number of bumps and got slowed down.
Analysts now say CEAT, a smallcap tyre manufacturer, appears to be getting bruised badly from the jolts. They say rising raw material costs, declining demand and lower cash flow generation will likely hurt the stock’s prospects in the coming year.
Siddhartha Bera, an analyst at Nomura, said the company’s March quarter numbers were below expectations. “There are growth and margins headwinds ahead,” he said, adding that strong commodity cost pressure and additional capex would impact the firm’s free cash flow generation, swelling its debt burden. ....

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Moodys revises India FY22 GDP forecast to 9 3 pc

Moodys revises India FY22 GDP forecast to 9 3 pc
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