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Upbeat Economic Survey has an essential reminder for Finance Minister: Dear boss, please spend!


Good estimators aren t modest. If it s huge, they say so. 
On Friday, Chief Economic Adviser KV Subramanian simply conformed to this logic. Presenting the Economic Survey 2020-2021, he beat the band about India s real and nominal GDP growth at an estimated 11% and 15.4% respectively next fiscal. This is pretty much in line with the IMF estimates released just a few days ago. 
Still, being an official forecast, the nation needed to hear this twice over for the much-needed morale booster after the calamitous 24% contraction in Q1. In absolute numbers, the loss in estimated national output this fiscal is about Rs 8.3 lakh crore. Some of this is lost forever, but assuming real GDP grows 2.4% above the absolute level of FY20, it ll take two years to get back to the pre-pandemic level.   ....

Sunitha Natti , Nirmala Sitharaman , Fifteenth Finance Commission , News Service , Chief Economic Adviser , Economic Survey , Finance Minister Nirmala , Finance Minister , Malgudi Days , Chief Economic Advisor , பதினைந்தாவது நிதி தரகு , செய்தி சேவை , பொருளாதார கணக்கெடுப்பு , நிதி அமைச்சர் நிர்மலா , நிதி அமைச்சர் , மால்குடி நாட்கள் ,

Economic Survey 2020-21 endorses continuation of expansionary fiscal stance


The pre-Budget Economic Survey for 2020-21 has wholeheartedly endorsed the continuation of an expansionary fiscal stance for the next financial year. Tabled in Parliament just three days before Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman would present the Union Budget for 2021-22, the Survey has stated that the government may have to continue with an expansionary fiscal stance “in order to sustain the recovery in aggregate demand.”
The Survey, presented in two volumes along with a statistical appendix, is also quite bullish about medium-term growth prospects, largely due to the expenditure support and various reforms introduced during the current year.
But where will the revenues come from and will the continuation of an expansionary fiscal stance lead to an unsustainable rise in the fiscal deficit? ....

Nirmala Sitharaman , Budget Economic , Fifteenth Finance Commission , Union Budget , Budget Economic Survey , Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman , Economic Survey , பட்ஜெட் பொருளாதார , பதினைந்தாவது நிதி தரகு , தொழிற்சங்கம் பட்ஜெட் , பட்ஜெட் பொருளாதார கணக்கெடுப்பு , பொருளாதார கணக்கெடுப்பு ,

Economic Survey 2020-21 prioritises growth over fiscal consolidation


Three important releases on 29 January 2021 provide critical clues to both policy direction and the likely magnitude of the fiscal aggregates in the forthcoming budget for 2021-22. The first of these releases, that is, the Economic Survey for 2020-21, provides crucial signals relating to the likely fiscal policy stance of the budget for the forthcoming year as well as for the medium-term. The second release, by the CGA, provides updated information regarding centre’s fiscal aggregates up to December 2020. These numbers portray a relatively sharp improvement in central government’s gross and net tax revenues. The third release pertains to the NSO’s first revised estimates for GDP and GVA for 2019-20. These would have implications for the base numbers for the union budget’s fiscal aggregates. Bringing together this set of important and updated information, it may be feasible to formulate an idea about critical budget magnitudes as well as its thrust and prioritization. ....

Fifteenth Finance Commission , Union Budget , National Infrastructure Pipeline , Economic Survey , Chief Policy Advisor , பதினைந்தாவது நிதி தரகு , தொழிற்சங்கம் பட்ஜெட் , தேசிய உள்கட்டமைப்பு குழாய் , பொருளாதார கணக்கெடுப்பு ,