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Calculated Risk: NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 83 in January

A top ranked economics and finance blog with a focus on the housing market ....

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Calculated Risk

The DOL reported:
In the week ending December 12, the advance figure for
seasonally adjusted initial claims was 885,000, an increase of
23,000 from the previous week s revised level. The previous week s level was revised up by 9,000 from 853,000 to
862,000. The 4-week moving average was 812,500, an increase of 34,250 from the previous week s revised average. The
previous week s average was revised up by 2,250 from 776,000 to 778,250.
emphasis addedThis does not include the 455,037 initial claims for Pandemic Unemployment Assistance (PUA) that was up from 415,037 the previous week.
The following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.
Click on graph for larger image.
The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims increased to 812,500. ....

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Calculated Risk: NAHB: Builder Confidence Decreased to 86 in December

12/16/2020 10:04:00 AM
The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) reported the housing market index (HMI) was at 86, down from 90 in November. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.
Ending a string of three successive months of record highs, builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes fell four points to 86 in December, according to the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. Despite the decline, this is still the second-highest reading in the history of the series after last month’s mark of 90.
“Housing demand is strong entering 2021, however the coming year will see housing affordability challenges as inventory remains low and construction costs are rising,” said NAHB Chairman Chuck Fowke. “Policymakers should take note to avoid increasing regulatory costs associated with land development and residential construction.” ....

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