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Where are the Central Bank's positioned as we enter July?


6/28/2021 3:09:29 PM GMT
Major central bank rundown
Reserve Bank of Australia, Governor Phillip Lowe,  0.10%,  Meets July 14
Holding still
Once again the June 01 RBA meeting was uneventful. No rate hikes expected until actual inflation is within the 2-3% range and supportive monetary conditions (low rates etc) are to be maintained in order to support a return to full employment and for inflation to be consistent with this target. The labour market is not expected to be tight enough to spur higher age growth (and therefore inflation with it) until 2024. So, on hold with rates until 2024 is the mantra. The RBA noted that significant outbreaks of the COVID-19 virus remain, but as more people get vaccinated this risk should fade. The RBA still sees inflation in underlying terms remaining low and underneath the central bank targets. The economic recovery is stronger than earlier expected and is forecast to continue. The Bank’s central scenario is for GDP growth by 4 ....

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Central bank overview for June part 2


Central bank overview for June part 2
Sat 26 Jun 2021 22:06:36 GMT
Governor Andrew Bailey, 0.10%, Meets August 05
Up until this weeks meeting there had been two up beat central bank meetings from the Bank of England. It could have been anticipated that this would really have increased the odds of a hawkish twist from the BoE. Heading into the Bank of England meeting Sonia futures were pricing in a more optimistic Bank of England with interest rates projected to rise next year. However. The actual meeting itself was a disappointment. The only dissenter to the headline prints was Andy Haldane who voted to taper asset purchases. The vote was 8-1 in favour of tapering. However, this was Andy Haldane s very last MPC meeting, and a lack of hawkish comment left the GBP stop sell off fairly quickly out of the meeting. ....

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