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Mexican Peso Forecast: USD/MXN Balance of Risks Appears Tilted to the Downside


Mexican Peso Forecast: USD/MXN Balance of Risks Appears Tilted to the Downside
2021-06-27 07:00:00
Diego Colman,
Market Analyst
USD/MXN FORECAST: MILDLY BEARISH
Banxico’s rate hike surprise may help consolidate expectations that a tightening cycle has started
Positive risk-sentiment and an attractive carry are likely to benefit the Mexican peso
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There are not many of relevant risk events in Mexico’s economic calendar next week. The June manufacturing PMI, to be published on July 1st, will likely receive some scrutiny, but the future path of Banxico’s monetary policy, in light of its recent rate hike surprise, and the NFP release in the U.S. will dominate market discussion and set the tone for USD/MXN price action. ....

Diego Colman , Federal Reserve , Peso Forecast , Risks Appears Tilted , கூட்டாட்சியின் இருப்பு , பேஸொ முன்னறிவிப்பு ,

Mexican Peso Forecast: Commodities Rally Boosts Peso's Appeal - Setups for MXN/JPY, USD/MXN


Mexican Peso Forecast: Commodities Rally Boosts Peso s Appeal - Setups for MXN/JPY, USD/MXN
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Mexican Peso Outlook:
Amid a global commodity price boom in recent weeks, the Mexican Peso has benefited, achieving or nearing yearly highs versus the Japanese Yen and the US Dollar.
MXN/JPY rates are flagging after trading through multi-year downtrend resistance, suggesting a major turn may be arriving soon.
We can use the IG Client Sentiment Indexfor USD/CAD rates as a close proxy for USD/MXN exposure, which has a mixed bias.
Mexican Peso Retaining Strength
Throughout the month of April, the combination of stability in long-end global bond yields and a surge in global commodity prices, particularly agriculture and a subset of base metals, has provided a sturdy base from which the Mexican Peso has been able to rally. For the most part, price action remains in line with expectations outlined in our 1Q’21 Top Trade Opportunities and 2Q’21 Top Tra ....

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Mexican Peso Forecast: MXN/JPY Breakout, USD/MXN Breakdown in Focus


Mexican Peso Forecast: MXN/JPY Breakout, USD/MXN Breakdown in Focus
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Mexican Peso Outlook:
Stability in long-end global bond yields has given room for risk appetite to return to markets, including in the emerging markets currency space.
MXN/JPY has traded to its yearly high and are now challenging a multi-year downtrend, while USD/MXN has dropped through its intrayearly uptrend, and a potential head and shoulders pattern may be guiding price action lower.
We can use the IG Client Sentiment Indexfor USD/CAD rates as a close proxy for USD/MXN exposure, which has a mixed bias.
Mexican Peso Continues to Gain Strength ....

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