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NOAA Says Another Above-Normal Hurricane Season Is Likely


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A summary infographic showing hurricane season probability and numbers of named storms predicted from NOAA s 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook.
An above normal hurricane season is likely again this year, according to the acting NOAA Administrator Ben Friedman. However, he says it is unlikely to be as active as the historic 2020 season.
Forecasters at NOAA s Climate Prediction Center say they have a confidence level of 70 percent in a forecast that includes 13 to 20 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 6 to 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3 to 5 major hurricanes (winds of 111 mph or higher).
The seasonal averages for activity, which have recently been updated to use 1991-2020 as the new 30-year period of record, are 14 named storms and 7 hurricanes, of which 3 become major hurricanes. ....

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