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>> bill: personal story segment tonight, no question herman cain is a big political winner this fall. once written off as a marginal candidate mr. cain competing in national polls with mitt romney and rick perry. can a relatively inexperienced guy like cain put together an organization that can win the nomination? here now is the man who attempted to do just that four years ago mike huckabee, former governor of arkansas, fox news analyst. what are the odds in your opinion that herman cain wins the nomination. >> i think i would give him 40%. he doesn't have a 50/50 shot. he has a shot. it's a long shot. >> bill: four out of 10. >> four out of 10. >> bill: what is his main deficit? you give him a 40% shot of securing the nomination. what's holding him back from saying a 70% shot. >> money and organization. the two key things have you got to have in states like iowa. it's a very, just old fashioned, you know, have you got to have boots on the ground. >> bill: he has enough money to compete in iowa i think cain. >> you don't have to have a lot of money in iowa. you don't have to have a lot of

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