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This is d w news live from butlins uncertainty around the world as the us reconsider another major agreement doesnt trump profess to deliver a scathing critique of iran on the twenty fifteen landmark nuclear deal in a speech thats expected to outline an aggressive new u. S. Strategy also on the program. Emergency services struggle to contain the wildfire as leaving a trail of destruction across Northern California thirty one people have now lost their lives as the flames reduced entire neighborhoods to ashes. Police in kenya shoot dead to protest doesnt tear gas dozens more as the standoff over the rerun of the president ial election ascots. Im phil gayle welcome to the program in the next hour or so u. S. President donald trump is due to deliver a major Foreign Policy speech a white house statement says mr trump will outline a new approach to iran including a more aggressive stance regarding its regional influence the speech could also see the president begin to unpick a major diplomatic achievement the landmark deal which curbed Irans Nuclear ambitions. The twenty fifteen agreement with iran struck under the Obama Administration united world powers as well as the u. S. China Russia Germany france the u. K. And the European Union put their name to it obamas success or u. S. President donald trump has never made any secret of his opposition to the agreement and you know was one of the worst and most one sided transactions the United States has ever entered and frankly that deal is an embarrassment to the United States and i dont think youve heard the last of it believe me. Under the twenty fifteen deal iran was to limit the scope of its Nuclear Program and specifically its enrichment of uranium in exchange for the easing of International Sanctions against iran some in trumps own administration say the agreement is working and they oppose dumping the deal out right if we can confirm that iran is living by the agreement if we can determine that this is in our best interests then clearly we should stay with it i believe at this point in time absent indications to the contrary it is something the president should consider staying where. The International Atomic Energy Agency says iran stocks of heavy water used in some Nuclear Reactors try succeeded agreed limits under obama but now below that benchmark whether that is enough for donald trump only he knows. Why. But. Well we should know in just under an hour from now though for now though let us speculate with tyson from the Aspen Institute in berlin welcome to w. The secretary or secretary of state Rex Tillerson has just said that the president will decertify the deal rather than leave it so explain to us what that means i mean basically this was a law passed by congress that required the president to certify that iran was in compliance with the deal every ninety days and that it remained in the United States National Interest to remain part of the steel if he does not certify that that allows congress to if it chooses fast track a certain suite of sanctions that do not require that can go directly to the floor and can override a filibuster so it basically kicks the ball to congress to take action so americas agreement to this deal was always conditional well the deal this is this is an internal kind of agreement this is obviously this is a political agreement taken in the u. N. But this could you know that certification is something that congress has been very clear about since the beginning ok so we saw in the report the defense secretary james mathis not just backs the steel so why we here why is it come to this well i mean just to get back to your question of the agreement be conditional obviously this will always be conditional on compliance on both sides and the opinion of the the white house seems to be and this is what has been indicated well see in forty five minutes or so that that iran is not in compliance with the deal and. That is a matter of interpretation the other p five plus one powers have said that it is in compliance with the deal as has the i. E. A but as was mentioned in this report it did exceed enrichment in two cases so the white house is really strategy paper ahead of this speech whats in the well the expectation is that theyre going to call for certain tougher conditions they want to as was mentioned reopen the deal and what is one of the issues that they want to address they wanted just things like the ability to have inspections in military facilities they want to deal with the ability to test missiles that will that could hold warheads that are Nuclear Warheads and other things like that. But this deal was meticulously negotiated over years all these issues have been visited by the negotiators in the past and that was not agreed to so its very unlikely that iran and the other powers will will agree to these kind of conditions that talks about to stay with us we want to look at the european end of this because of course europes also heavily invested right in the Iran Nuclear Deal france the u. K. Germany and the European Union theyre also signatories and helped to negotiate it earlier i asked w. s Brussels Bureau chief max hoffman what europe would do if the deal was decertified. Well then they will continue the efforts that theyve been building up over the last weeks already meaning from the different embassies the european embassies in washington d. C. Try to increase pressure on the administration and eventually on the president to not completely nix that deal like i said theyve been trying to do that now for quite some time well see what effect that had and of course also diplomacy is what they will try to do with the rent even more so if the u. S. Really do leave that deal they will try to convince the Iranian Regime that its worth for them complying with the deal nevertheless maybe through economic benefits or political benefits they have a very clear what they wont do a senior diplomat confirm that to d. W. Just in the last days they will not reopen the deal they will not renegotiate the deal as the u. S. President wants to do because it took them twelve years roughly to negotiate the deal and they think its worth keeping access more than just peace and principle at play here europe benefits hugely financially from this deal. Not only europe other companies too from india for example in china but youre right the numbers are quite impressive of course maybe not is quite impressive when you think what was before they started trade relationships with iran because there was virtually nothing going on but heres the number i want to cite phil trade between the e. U. And iran has increased by ninety four percent in the first half of two thousand and seventeen compared to the first half of two thousand and sixteen there are some big deals with European Companies that have been made this year for example with the french oil giant. They have invested their invested in a deal worth four billion euros so thats pretty big and of course you also have to think that the ties between the different banks in the European Union and iran are growing tighter with iran back on the financial Global Financial Network Swift so yes there is a lot at stake without a doubt but if you think of the situation we might face the americans actually imposing new sanctions on iran while the europeans are making business with them this would mean that the two allies would sanction each other meaning that the u. S. Would also impose probably at least sanctions on European Companies doing business with iran and that would be a serious or more than a serious crack in the western alliance but often in brussels thank you. Tyson baka from the Aspen Institute in berlin is still with us and lets pick up on maxs point that if president decertified is the deal what is that likely to leave us a year relations i mean he put the nail on the head in that in that report i mean youre seeing cracks in transatlantic unity on sanctions policy which has really been at the heart of the alliance and particularly the e. U. U. S. Relationship over the past ten years if you look at Ukraine Russia if you look at iran you look at north korea its that transatlantic unity that has kept countries under pressure and if that cracks open not only will there be laying sanctions on each other which is very problematic but it just causes frictions in the relationship its its going to be really hard to bind those wounds well well see which which wins openings and which ones are sealed closed in the next hour or so when you look at rejoin the surf and other tyson baka from the Aspen Institute in burnet thank you. Onto other news now thirty one people have been killed in the wildfires raging across Northern California the deadliest in the States History with hundreds still missing the death toll is expected to rise dry conditions and fierce winds are hampering efforts to bring the fires under control the blazes in the wine country north of San Francisco have been burning since sunday and conditions of forecast to worsen this weekend napa valley was the heart of californias Wine Industry but now napa and its surrounds have seen an unprecedented disaster. These men are among eight thousand firefighters who spent the last few days trying to bring the prices under control. Some houses down the street theres no better feeling you know its just theyre just there theyre everywhere you know theres Little Pockets theres theres. Theres parts that we just cant get to dozens of fires have been burning in and around nothing valley since last sunday night they cause are uncertain but fanned by hot dry winds theyve scorched an area the size of new york city and filled the air with acrid smoke. In a mask because i know im in there for two or three days now i live here and starting to really affect my breathing so theres no letup expected in the coming hours and already these fires have turned much of napa valley from a Tourist Destination to a place where little more than scorched earth remains now in kenya police shot dead to opposition supporters in the west of the country as protests as protests intensify ahead of a president ial election raven later this month police say the incident happened when around twenty youth tried to storm a Police Station meanwhile in the capital Nairobi Police fired tear gas at protesters defying a ban on rallies in three major cities Opposition Leader rollo degas has pulled out of the Election Rerun and says the poll cant go ahead president to hear a kenyatta one of the original election in august the result was a no because of irregularities in the counting process. Katherine i want to joins us from the capital nairobi a welcome. Whats the situation now. Ofen now the situation is relatively calm but during the day we did see police in gauge protesters and running battles especially here in nairobi and in kisumu now this comes only a day after the interior minister fred my chinese told protest and protest within the Central Business district of the three cities which is mumbai nairobi and consume so the opposition still insists that they are defiant and that it is their right to picket and that they will continue with these protests and in fact after dinner with do they said that they will have protests at least every single day starting from next week and tell us more about the backgrounds of these demonstrations. What these protesters want is reforms and according to the main opposition theyre about eleven irreducible minimum that the opposition want the Electoral Commission to undertake so that at least they can provide kenyans with free and Credible Elections come the twenty sixth of october that is if the elections will take place now on tuesday our main Opposition Leader raul odinga said that he will has withdrawn from the president ial race insisting that the Electoral Commission has not met any of the demands now the Electoral Commission has made some sort of changes within its system it did give a completely new team that will handle the elections and it did do away with low and officials who were accused of tampering with the last election but according to the main opposition this is not enough they say that until their eleven demands are met they will not participate in the election and they say that if. It does not participate in the election come twenty sixth of october there will be no election taking place. I was catherine of wonder in nairobi to sport and some football news from the United States where the National Teams coach bruce arena has resigned this after the u. S. Crashed out of qualifying for next years world cup read it was called on last november to replace youre going to play this man china next to her dozens of giant panda cubs have made their public debut as a conservation reserve in the southwest of the country all of the cubs that were born this year and ranging in ages from one to five months its been an unusually successful year for the Panda Breeding program in china is the Sichuan Province total forty two camps have been bored the most in the programs history. Clearly we cant get enough of them this is the w. News in just a row with the cheating scandal reverberating around the world a dima a General Motors bring us and General Electric are amongst five hundred customers who receives double standard warmer tiriel than japanese steel makers kobe. Us will have those stories and the rest of the days of business

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