The red wave that wasnt. The people have spoken. We should have seen an overwhelming victory for republicans. We didnt. How a Supreme Court ruling and gop missteps helped democrats defy midterm history. Plus, the comeback kid. We beat the odds. A string of wins on capitol hill and at the ballot box rejuvenates the biden presidency. Why do so few democrats want him to run for a second term . Donald trump under siege. Weapon aized department of justice. Open else has ever gone through this. These people are sick. Is his iron grip over the gop Finally Loosening . Hello and welcome to inside politic sunday. Im abby phillip. 2022. It was the year of the political plot twist. Ups and downs. Twists and turns. Surprises. Unexpected revoels and unended expectations. How did the year end with a Record Number of bipartisan accomplishments . How did the year with donald trump in control of the gop end with rivals ready to challenge him . And how did the party in power overcome raging inflation, an unpopular president and an angry electorate to notch a good midterm performance . Here is how 2022 is closing out from both ends of pennsylvania avenue. For months and months all of you heard from the press is democrats are facing disaster. All those polls, god love them. You know . Historic losses around the way. A giant red wave. Folks, that didnt happen. Remember in the house they dont give gavels out. They give you the gavel. We can govern. Republicans picked up nine house seats providing them with only the slimmest of majorities and democrats not only maintained control of the senate but added a seat to their majority. Lets discuss this and more with amy walter, margaret talbot. What a year it was. By the numbers if the numbers were not enough for you heres how historic democratic expectations beating this was. It is the First Time Since 1934 that every incumbent democratic senator won and First Time Since 1934 the party gained governor seats in the first term election why maybe they lost the house but it is a historic performance. Theres no doubt about it. I think that as we go through the conversation we come back to issues and things over the year but i want to start with the structural advantage that democrats did bring into the election, especially on the senate side. They did not have to win in any state that trump carried and they didnt. They didnt win ohio or north carolina. So that was benefit number one. Benefit number two for the house which we write about for quite sometime is republicans started at a high floor. They had 212 seats. So much higher than in 2010. Where republicans were or 1994 in the 170s. So the room for making these big gains was always difficult. Based just again on the structural advantages and lets be clear. Well talk republican candidates but democrats had strong candidates and campaigns and more important on the senate races they didnt have any retirements. I dont think we appreciate that enough going in with the incumbents that didnt have to come out of a bruising primary. Excellent points and important. On the senate side i was skeptical. Even though democrats were defending the seats that biden won in he didnt carry a lot of states. But in 2022, the Dobbs Decision on abortion. Listen to a pennsylvania voter and how this played for one person. Ism like a lot of us are feeling threatened. I have a granddaughter. Im a woman. I dont want People Dictating to me how i can see my doctor or the conversations to have with my doctor. Coming to inflation i understand its something that happens. It comes and goes. Goes up and down. Okay. Inflation versus abortion. Abortion had a huge role to play. It did. Particularly in pennsylvania. The candidate there fetterman leaned into that issue. He knew of women particularly felt the way that that woman did. Another trend is young women. Right . They were very moved to get engaged in this election. We saw record turnout and because of young woman to get into this and involved because of roe. Sitting there saying i might have less rights than my mother had given that they overturned dobbs . Going into this the energy was on the democratic side around this and a question about would the democrats be able to message this . The Democratic Party sort of didnt really talk about abortion in the way that republicans had learned to do that. It turned out that in some way democrats didnt have to learn to how to talk about it with the cases that came to the stories could not be more the limitations of polling reminded us. When you ask someone whats a more pressing issue, what about both question . It really was a both question for a lot of people. It also gary peters told my colleague last summer as we gear you were for the final push it is hard to try to defend the majority in the hard Economic Times and an end of a pandemic. But democrats had that voters didnt like republicans. I think that combination of the trump hangover, poor trump candidates. The choices of candidates mattered in key places. In arizona, nevada, pennsylvania, in georgia twice. Right. It mattered. Any race in the country as we look back seeing the races that trump touched from endorsing someone in the primary republicans were likely to lose that race. Like georgia, the governors race. I think these things added together. But in pennsylvania i remember talking to vote everies there very concerned. Michigan where abortion was on the ballot. A biggest sur surprise no one expected the legislature to go democratic. There were voters that may have said one thing and then went in the ballot box and a central issue to them. Candidates unacceptable. Trump endorsed pushing abortion. I told amy that i was going to let her take a victory lap on this one. The key factor is those people kind of like eh not thrilled with biden. What would they do in the midterm cycle . Look at the disapproves of President Biden voted. 50 to 44 warnock. New hampshire 72 to 25. And in pennsylvania 51 to 42 fetterman. That is clear. A clear picture and so different from where we were in 2018. The voter that is disapproved of donald trump voted for republican candidates by 30 points. In the National Polling this year those who somewhat disapproved of biden voted for democratic candidate by 4 points. This is quite unusual in part because i think you had a lot of people saying what margaret did which is this isnt an either or election. It is both and. Im disappointed in the president. I dont like how he handles the issues. Not doing as well on the economy. People who said the economy was not good not that it was really bad but not good, the same eh on the economy voted for democrats by 62 . So one important thing to say about the abortion issue. A democratic strategist said to me it was about dobbs. By that meaning we talk about the issue as this is access to a procedure versus a rolling back of rights. That was a big irconcern. Democrats framing it as a freedom issue. We may have to have James Carville update its the economy, stupid. Next for us, how joe biden avoided a Sophomore Slump and a 2022 flashback. History made on the Supreme Court. The path was cleared for me so that i might rise to this occasion. And in the poetic words of dr. Maya angelou, i do so now while bringing the gifts my ancestors gave. Even retirement parties. Man, i love parties. Subway keeps refreshing and refreshing this rental car is so boring to drive. Lets be honest. The rentacar industry is the definition of boring. 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And some very late checkouts. Think you can keep up . With fidelity income planning, well help you create a clear, personalized plan for cash flow, even when youre not working. A plan that includes all your accounts so you can enjoy whatever comes next. Thats the planning effect. From fidelity. President bidens year began with inflation surged. His top domestic priorities fading an and war looming. It ends now with a still growing economy, a long list of accomplishments and a visit with the president of ukraine. I want you to know, president zelenskyy, the people of ukraine to know, as well, the American People are with you and well stay with you. We will stay with you for as long as it takes and together i have no doubt to keep the flame of liberty burning bright and the light will remain and prevail over the darkness. One year ago last week that joe manchin torpedoed the build back better plan but look at the accomplishments since then. The biggest Clean Energy Investment ever. Medicare drug price reform. Bipartisan bills on guns, marriage and heres what they had to say about the trajectory saying there is a pattern where when it comes to biden he is underestimated and longest time people say how he is wrong and when the results come in they say he wasnt wrong. That is in a nutshell how the Biden White House feels. They have a reason to feel vindicated. Without a doubt. The year is ending in a stronger position than it began or than anyone in the building hoped. No one was exactly predicting this. It was a surprise to the president , as well. So interesting as its the 50th Anniversary of the first election as a senator and how many midterm and president ials has joe biden seen . He knows what history shows and defied it. Not because of his own doing but voters could see the accomplishments and he does own the victories and it sends him into the second half of his first term in a much stronger position than he hoped. Now the challenge is to make sure that the country is feeling the things because they arent necessarily. He didnt get inflation right but they have did done a better j job. But for sure he should take a victory lap. Think about go back to the obama his first midterm terrible. Obamacare was the driving issue. Implementation part didnt go particularly well. In fact, he never ran an ad in that president ial reelection in 2012 that mentioned obamacare. Very different going into bidens second half of the first term. Talking about infrastructure and rolling out the Prescription Drug plan in 2023. Building as the president likes to talk about factories to churn out microchips. Even if no legislation gets done next year theres a lot to talk about as accomplishments tie theory of the case is ignore the peanut gallery. Today, too often we confuse noise with substance. Too often we confuse setbacks with defeat. Too often we hand the biggest microphone to the critics and the cynics who delight in declaring failure but those committed to progress do the hard work of governing. Making progress in this country thats as big and complicated as ours is never easy but with unwaivering commitment and patience progress does come. Pretty accurate por tral and he got luck y. Look at the price gas drop. Maybe some things they did or things are totally outside of their control but the most important. If i identify three things to help biden, number one is gas prices. Looking at how they went increases the Approval Rating went down. Then back up. Number two, the ability to reframe this. Number three, democrats coming together to support him. It is the oldest lesson in the book and republicans played it well for a few years which is stick together no matter what. What biden encountered is the Interior Firing Squad and taking incoming from the republicans and not just manchin, the progressive wing. They were painting him as a conservative not in step with the party. As progressives came together to support President Biden. We hear him talk about theres no difference theres no small gavels or large. There definitely are. But you make a good point. I think people were surprised by democratic unity. They were not the most thrilled, the progressives, with joe biden as nominee and now here he is keeping the party together. We talk about domestic politics. Afghanistan was a low point for the biden administration. This moment with zelenskyy this week is a triumphant moment for him. Coupled with the Congress Giving him a pretty big Defense Budget to silence the conservatives for the time being. Setting up a potential reelect that is a little on the hawkish side. Right. The republicans helping them do that questioning whether or not the quite should support ukraine with the billions of dollars with weapons as they fight the incursion from russia. It is a turn around. Listen. Well see what happens with this house and whether or not they actually are going to try to stand in the way of the United States aiding zelenskyy in this war but its been phenomenal. To see what happened with biden. That in some ways what happened with afghanistan began his slide and we saw it really for about a year and then what happened with the gas prices was key. And also he did something that i think a lot of democrats question whether he should do. That was Labeling Maga as extremists talking about democracy being on the ballot. Some democrats particularly moderates felt like is he going too far . Is he losing the bipartisan sheen but that resonated. That was his instinct. It perhaps was presh cent. Will he run . Take a look at the polls. 42 approve. Still unpopular. 40 of democratic leaning democrats think it should be President Biden. Does that weigh in to the calculus . No. Thats what it would have been. If he runs for president five times, it is always difficult going back to 198 7. The Democratic Party never fully behind him at the beginning. As he heads off to christmas vacation in the islands he will be thinking about this. People around him thinks its a go. He takes his time and might be into the end of winter before making a decision. Coming off the midterms bolsters the thinking. Next, former president trumps year has been worse than a lot of people expected but how strong really is his hold on the gop . But first, another 2022 flashback why the first female Speaker Of The House is ending the 20 years as democratic leader. I have seen this body grow more reflective of aur great, beautiful nation. With great confidence in our caucus i will not seek reelection to democratic leadership in the next congress. Were providing greater access to investing, with lowcost options to help maximize savings. From the plains to the coasts, we help americans invest for their future. 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Plus ask how to get up to a 750 prepaid card with qualifying internet. 2022 was by objective standards a terrible, horrible, no good, very, very good year for donald trump. Classified documents found at the florida home. January 6 commit tee referred him to the Justice Department for criminal prosecution. His company was found guilty of fraud. And he hosted two notorious antisemites for dinner. He met them all in a typical fashion. If i fly over a state they send me before a grand jury. Theres trump. What can we do . Im going through this for six years. A friend said im the most persecuted person in the history of our country. Its true. I felt he may be right. Theres never been a president thats gone through the crap that im going through left and right. Left. You feel like a fighter. Left and right. Then you knock the hell out of them. Same script different day. This year has been really a rougher year than i think trump and allies expected. You can see the effect on the poll numbers. Question is should trump be the 2024 nominee . Watch as the number drops from 50 in january to 38 . And folks around him are taking notice. They are taking notice and taking notice for two reasons. One is the partys losses. In the midterm elections. Unrealized gains and the prospect of an alternative to be as popular or more popular with the base than trump. It would be naive to say the Republican Party realized he propagated damaging lies that threatened the constitutional future of the United States. This was a slow simmering pot for years and the party stood by him but the cracks that are fomenting are the fallout of january 6 and the ballot box implications. The bill is coming due. Two years after the last president ial election but its not halted his at least official declaration to run. 38 is still pretty high. Right . Might be just enough. If you think about what happened in 2016 he is there. Then a field of ten others splitting the vote and could run up the middle. He has the hearts and minds of a good percentage of the Republican Party. Maybe 40 looking at the poll. It is likely that he will probably descend more. How much is an open question. Who actually feels like they can charge him . Ron desantis is the flavor of the beltway crowd. He did phenomenal in the election in florida. Does he have what it takes to take on donald trump . Greg abbott in texas maybe he runs. Mike pence. A lot of mikes. Trump hopes they all run. That is his strength coming in that. The january 6 committee wrapped up the work really. This is the end. I think people didnt expect the impact they would have. But it had some impact. If only to reveal the grift of it all and that the people knew that they were lying and take a listen to some of what was revealed. I made it clear i did not agree of the idea of saying the election was stolen and i told the president it was bullshit. I respect Attorney General barr so i accepted what he was saying. Ever heard the president Say Something to the effect of i dont care that they have weapons. Theyre not here to hurt me. Let my people in. They can march to the capitol right now. When you were in the dining room in the discussions was the violence at the capitol visible on the screen on the television . Yes. These are all trump people. Theyre out now. To me a lot of this permeated to some extent into the psyche of the voter if only to say thats enough. Chaos. If we learned anything from the 2022 election voters juwanted t stop the chaos that donald trump brought literally and figuratively. What we learned from the january 6 experience was despite the fact that donald trump had asked all those people he endorsed to back his contention that the election was rigged, there was all this talk that after election day none of the republicans were going to concede and continue down the path that donald trump forged, but for kari lake they have all conceded. This is not a winning message. For republicans saying the grift Many Republican candidates mouthing the words didnt believe it in reality. Jeff, you have covered trump for a long time. I will play this announcement moment. I want to know. A lot of people wonder wheres the energy . Listen. My fellow citizens, americas comeback starts right now. In order to make America Great and gloefrrious again i am announcing my candidacy of the United States. He was toeltd to be calm and measured. One thing that happened in iowa where the rise essentially began in a rally in the final week of the Campaign Going there on the final tour. I was talking to supporters loyalists in the cold for hours. Asking them if they want him to run again. I was surprised how many said im not sure. His confidence is sapped. So people can still like him and order his things. Nfts. They dont know if they want him in the oval. Midterm elections are a poor predictor and have no idea how strong of a candidate he would be but begins 2023 with sapped confidence. The things that he might be excited to you this is what hes been selling. Im going my First Official donald trump Nft Collection right here and right now featuring the art work per training to my life and career why go to collect trump cards. Com and christmas is coming and this makes a great christmas gift. Theres energy there. Didnt see in the announce. About donald trump, sort of is it basically down to the grift . The grift and the grievance over 2020 . In 2016 theres the racism and sexism but a message about the economy. Build the wall. But now it really seems to be down to nfts. Hey. Whatever makes him money which is the oldest of all trump commandments. The winners and losers of 2022. Listen to this years winner. The man Many Republicans see as the partys future. Now thanks to the overwhelming support of the people of florida we not only won election, we have rewritten the political map. Thank you for honoring us with a win for the ages. So take care of that heart with lipton. Because sippin On Unsweetened Lipton can help support a healthy heart. Lipton. Stop chuggin. Start sippin. All across the country, people are working hard to build a better future. So were hard at work, helping them achieve financial freedom. Were investing for our clients in the projects that power our economy. From the plains to the coasts, we help americans invest for their future. And help communities thrive. Hey guys, detect this living with hiv, i learned that i can stay undetectable with fewer medicines. Thats why i switched to dovato. 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Tell your doctor if you have kidney or liver problems, or if you are, may be, or plan to be pregnant. Dovato may harm your unborn baby. Use effective Birth Control while on dovato. Do not breastfeed while taking dovato. Most common side effects are headache, nausea, diarrhea, trouble sleeping, tiredness, and anxiety. Detect this i stay undetectable with fewer medicines. Ask your doctor about switching to dovato. Its the subway series menu. 12 irresistible subs. The most Epic Sandwich roster ever created. Its subways biggest refresh yet 2022 was the year you couldnt make up even if you tried so we wanted to take a look at the biggest political winners and losers so well start with the winners. Secretaries of state by and large dealing with the election lies, they are my winners starting with benson in michigan and raffensberger in georgia representing a class of officials who up until now i dont recall knowing the names of Secretaries Of State but they were in ads. I think that they are my winners of upholding democracy. Stood against the lies in both parties. It is important to look it is not just democrats. Republican examples of this who said enough of this. Truth matters. I could add katie hobbs who hoh won in an Underdog Situation in arizona. Ill go next. I put Georgia Television stations as a winner why combining the ad spending from 2020 and 2022 in georgia it is 1. 4 billion. In one state. Think about how little money was spent in georgia from basically the 80s until 2018. To think about how much money is going in there now is incredible and no sign of stopping now that georgia is officially on the Battleground List and atlanta is an expensive media market. Maybe an early state. Very good. Take a look at one of the ads that made a splash in this cycle. You think Herschel Walker would want to explain what he would do in the senate representing georgia. He repeats the same lies distracting from what we know about him. I think youll know the ads for what they are. Dont you . All right. Who doesnt love a great dog . There were so incredible warnock ads like if he could bring that magic to the senate i would watch every senate proceeding. It is a Well Run Campaign where democrats did the things that raised the money to run the ad. Margaret. My winner is volodymyr zelenskyy. This is a Glass Half Full versus empty argument because when the country is under siege by russia and 100,000 civilians and soldiers are killed given how things could have gone he has driven about the best outcome that he could out of 2022 to get 45 billion out of this congress before Kevin Mccarthy and the House Republicans make it more difficult. To win the hearts and minds of americans and the people around the world. Lets listen to his speech. Our two nations are allies in this battle. And next year will be a turning point. I know it. The point when ukrainian courage and american resolve must guarantee the future of our common freedom. Freedom of people who stand for their values. Talk about rising to the occasion. Former actor. Comedian. Thrown into the situation. Brittney griner gets to spends christmas with her family today and because of the amazing team of diplomats in the biden administration, the wnba and nba and shown a light on the cause and acted in some ways in an unorthodox way, particularly looking at the history of the hostage negotiations. You are supposed to lay low but thats not what the supporters wanted to do. Cherelle griner who you interviewed put the pressure on. She is going to play this season. I had a very Front Row Seat to part of the incredibly bold Strategic Decisions that the team made to try to get her out. Because of the interview that is caught the president s attention. He directed the team to do this. This is an example where you can see the experience of the office and someone that knows the levers of power. Maybe a newer president might have been afraid. A lot of president s are. He wanted to bring her home. Public pressure getting directly to him worked because he is an emphathetic guy. Whats interesting to watch is how this administration has now especially this year in 2022 decided to bring americans home. This week bringing Home Americans who were basically kidnapped in afghanistan. In addition to Brittney Griner and trevor reed and prisoner swaps a dozen others freed this year. A legacy of the trump administration. He wanted to put himself front and center. But this carried over and a shifting dynamic in diplomacy. Yeah. Maybe a little less concern that it will backfire with voters. Next, the panel weighs in on the biggest political losers of the year. Grocery shopping. My wife wants some vegetables. Heres a broccoli. 2. Not a ton there. Asparagus. 4. Guys . Thats 20 and this doesnt include the tequila. Its outrageous. Man, i love parties. Subway keeps refreshing and refreshing you pour your heart into everything you do, which is a lot. So take care of that heart with lipton. Because sippin On Unsweetened Lipton can help support a healthy heart. Lipton. Stop chuggin. Start sippin. This rental car is so boring to drive. Lets be honest. The rentacar industry is the definition of boring. And the reason can be found in the name itself. Rent a car. You dont want a friend. You want the friend. You dont want a job. You want the job. The is always over a. Thats why we dont offer a car. We offer the car. Sixt. Rent the car. Im a laidback mediterranean hotel, looking for someone with simple needs. Just a room, with a view. Of rolling portuguese vineyards. A meal. Of fresh, seasonal cuisine. Exercise. In the crisp countryside air. And pets. I have a herd of horses. If you too share these simple needs, i may be your perfect somewhere. Our panel is back here to talk about some of the political losers, biggest political losers of 2022. Celebrity candidates wiped out in this election why think about kari lake over in arizona. Had been a tv anchor and wanted to run for governor. Herschel walker, football player. Excellent. Terrible candidate. Got beat. And then you have dr. Oz, mr. Crudite himself. A fantastic heart surgeon. From pennsylvania yet, many, many houses, and you know, it was i think people went into this thinking obviously these were trump candidates and maybe they could do what trump did too, right . He was a celebrity candidate. It helped obviously that he was a billionaire, it helped that he had a wife who looked like melania trump, and i think these folks didnt really pass the test because voters wanted to know. Listen, you were a football player. What does that mean for you being a senator . Those were all states that trump lost. Yes. So there was that. Nominating candidates who were like trump with a trump approach to the world in states that trump lost doesnt seem like a great strategy. There was also an antielite dynamic going on right now, a Populist Dynamic that trump has inexplicably been able to surf the wave of. A lot of these other folks like oz really fell victim to that if you dont feel relatable to a person who identifies as a Working Class Voter as an everyday person, if you talk, if you live in ways that are more lavish, if you talk in ways that are different, it is hard to relate to that person. If youre not sure if someones from that hometown, if youre gnat sure they can understand your experiences it makes it difficult. I want to take one moment for this now iconic Herschel Walker moment. I dont know if you know vampires, i tell you something that i found out, a werewolf can kill a vampire. Did you know that . I dont want to be a vampire anymore, i want to be a werewolf. Good air, so when china gets our good air, their bad air got to move, so it moves over to our good air space. Okay. I think voters also said in 2022 you got to know what youre talking about. I picked adam laxalt, the republican candidate in nevada. If you talk to any strategist on either party going into this election, democratic incumbent Catherine Cortez masto was seen as the most vulnerable, and laxalt, it wasnt really a celebrity candidate, yes, he got endorsed by donald trump. Yes, he was part of the denial of the outcome of the 2022 elections, but he didnt lean into that as much as some other candidates did. He seemed to be very much as close as republicans could get to a sort of standard issue generic candidate. And even so he came up short in a state where the democratic governor lost. Yeah. It speaks to volumes. It really does. And a very Good Campaign i think run by democratic senator cortez masto. Despite really a significant odds real concerns about latino voters, et cetera. All right, jeff. Who do you got . I think when you look at the beginning of the year to the end of the year, the biggest political loser, certainly one of them is stacey abrams. Youll remember she was in georgia coming off of her failed bid the first time around. She was being talked about as a running mate for joe biden, and its not just the fact that she lost. This was always going to be a difficult race for her, but the Atlanta Journalconstitution has done some incredible reporting over the last couple of weeks. She owes her vendors a Million Dollars. Some of her employees and aides ive been speaking to say that the spending just went crazy. They rented a house in Piedmont Park for tiktok videos to be filmed and they just kind of got ahead of themselves with the celebrity, and didnt stick to what brought her. You always remember like winning candidates, if they were run by democrats or republicans they are tight with the money, and they seemed to spend a ton of money. It didnt help her necessarily. As she moves to her own future, of course shell have a second act, but she at least electorally is a political loser this year. So much to say there about perhaps laying the groundwork for a raphael warnock. Thats exactly right. She was on the ground in georgia, Believed Purplish state, registered all sorts of voters. She came close in her first race, ran a really competitive race and then going up against an incumbent just was very hard for her. What her next act is is anybodys guess. Margaret, what do you got . The voters of new yorks third Congressional District seem like the clear political losers to me at the end of this year. These are the voters who live in the district of the current congressmanelect republican george santos. Looked like a very promising candidate for the swing district, young, gay, latino. And now who knows. I just have to show folk this is. I mean, this is where we are at least as of right now. He claimed he attended a college in new york. Theres no record of it. He claimed he worked at citi and galaxy. Goldman sachs, no record of that. He claimed he founded a nonprofit focused on animals, no record of it. He lost four employees he claims in the 2016 pulse shooting, no record of that either, and he even claimed that his grandparents were survivors of the holocaust with no proof. This is extraordinary. This is a 360 degree failure. This is everybodys fault, and it starts with the candidate who has lied or been dishonest or been misleading or all of the above about basically his entire life story based on the reporting. But is also a failure of his own party, which has a responsibility to vet candidates. It is a failing of his opponent, the democrat who said that he knew about a lot of these problems and talked about them, but really, if he really knew about them, he would have been talking about them a different way. It is a failure of the press. Our collective responsibility is to help people find out things that other people dont want to tell them so that they can make good, informed decisions so that democracy can work for them. Everybody failed and none of this is working for the people. Should i know that the head of dccc the Democratic Campaign committee is a new yorker who lost his seat and were just learning about all of these perhaps, i mean, maybe the whole new en thing is just a big lie. That is it for inside politics sunday. You can listen to our podcast. Scan that qr code at the bottom of your screen. Coming up next, we have dana bashs exclusive interview with doug emhoff, the second gentleman of the United States. 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