Folks. Im out here in eau claire, wisconsin, where donald trump is holding a rally later tonight, as questions swirl about whether his narrow path to the presidency is widening maybe just a bit. Both the gop nominee and Hillary Clinton are making a final push for votes everywhere. Trump announced today that he is spenting 25 million over the next few days on tv ads here in the badger state and in other blue states, including colorado, virginia, michigan, and new mexico. Clintons campaign, in turn, is making sixfigure buys in each of those states, which not too long ago seemed safely in her column. Clinton surrogates are also campaigning in some of those same states, where trump is now seemingly on a bit of offense here in wisconsin. Tim kaine is appearing, bill clinton going to colorado. Hillary clinton today had some harsh words for her political opponent. And this explanation about why the race might get more negative before its over. At a rally today, clinton went back to her tried and true tactic of this campaign. For her, she appeared on stage with the Miss Universe pageant winner, alicia machado, and brought up the subject of trump and women. Contestants say that donald trump came in to look at them when they were changing. Some of them were just 15 years old. We cannot hide from this. Weve got to be willing to face it. This bhaman wants to be preside of the United States of america today, a new abc News Washington post tracking poll, the data from that survey has trump now leading by 1 nationally. Thats, of course, within the margin of error. But, oh, the symbolism of trump being ahead, after being well behind in that poll. And amid everybody wondering if the revived fbi probe into clintons email practices might be doing her some damage, her campaign says, it raised 11. 3 million online in the past 72 hours. So, john, seven days left, is there any real evidence that trump is catching up . Well, mark, you know, we are still suffering a little bit from a possit possity of pollin. Were still trying to figure out what the impact of the comey letter has been. Theres the abc Washington Post poll that has trump ahead by one right now. Other than that, which everyones hanging a lot on right now, if you look across all the other polling, theres no doubt that the race is tightening a little bit. But theres not a compelling case that its tightening a lot so far. You know, i think the most compelling case would come from the clinton side. Theyre going back on tv in some of these states. Theyre sending surrogates, tim kaine to ohio, bill clinton here to wisconsin. That doesnt mean theyre panicking or that her numbers are showing a decline. Theyre being careful. Trumps going on offense in these places. Why not play defense. I dont think we can jump to the conclusion that thats in any way decisively meaningful. It does suggest, if they werent the least bit worried about wisconsin or colorado or michigan, they wouldnt be trying to buttress themselves there. Theyd be focused on winning north carolina, and ending trumps chances. One of the things thats true is that the Clinton Campaign has amassed a really large stockpile of dollars over the course of the last 15, 16, 18 months. And were now at the point where, theres no Point Holding on to that money. You might as well spend it if you have it. So i tend to think theyve always said the race was going to be tight. And if were now in the last seven days, again, dont leave, as they say, dont leave a bullet in the chamber that you dont fire when it comes to ads. Thats what those things are. Theyre bullets. Why not get on the air . Youre totally right about the money. If theyve got enough to flood the air waves and saturate in the key battlegrounds, of course. Its those visits though. Bill clintons time is very valuable. The fact that theyre sending him to colorado. Tim kaines time, very valuable. The fact theyre sending him to wisconsin means, again, that theyre at least keeping an eye on those states. And the Trump Campaign today said in a Conference Call with the rnc, with the press this afternoon, that their path involves winning the big four of florida, ohio, iowa, and north carolina, but the reality is, if they lose north carolina, we said yesterday, could break their back, maybe theyre going to find a replacement here in wisconsin. But shes still ahead. And the other thing thats really clear, were not anymore talking about georgia and texas and the democrats trying to expand the map. Theres no question about that. All right, today is november the 1st, which obviously means its the first day of open enrollment for obamacare. This comes just a week after news that some people will see shocking rate hikes, or at least substantial rate hikes, and fewer Insurance Options under the Affordable Care act next year. A story line that the Trump Campaign considers to be something of a gift in this final stretch of the election. That delight was on full display today in king of prussia, pennsylvania, where donald trump and his running mate, mike pence, called for Health Care Policy changes, including the end of individual mandates and the ability for americans to shop for insurance plans across state lines. Before it was called obamacare, it was called hillarycare. Even former president bill clinton said, costs are going up, coverage is going down. Its the craziest thing in the world. I guess even with the clintons, sometimes truth happens. President obama said, heres the quote. Quote, when one of these companies comes out with a new smartphone that has a few bugs, what do they do . They fix it. They upgrade it. Unless it catches fire. Then they pull it off the market. Well, what a coincidence, mr. President , because thats exactly what were going to do with obamacare. Were going to pull it off the market so it stops burning up our wallets the president said, if you like your plan, you can keep your plan. If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor. Which may go down as one of the great political lies of the century. She wants to put the government totally in charge of health care in america. If we dont repeal and replace obamacare, we will destroy American Health care forever. Its one of the single most Important Reasons why we must win on november 8th. There has not been much polling about how news of these rate hikes is affecting the popularity of obamacare, but, mark, is your view, at this point, that this is a sleeper issue that might make a real difference in this president ial race . Well, that seems to certainly be the view of the republicans. Of course, they have hammered on the Affordable Care act since it passed. The polling, as you and i have discussed many times, is more negative than positive about the law. It certainly energizes the republican base. It unites all republicans, really, almost in every case. It unites a lot of independents who dont like it, particularly business people, and the Trump Campaign claims this issue, last monday when this broke, is what started to turn things, they say, in their favor. So i think an issue involving the real lives of real people, that plays into, even though a lot of the coverage is overstated, the extent of the hikes and the extent of the problem, i think this may be the sleeper issue right now that republicans ride through direct mail and digital, et cetera, to an advantage with a lot of voters. Yeah, i disagree. For one, if there was a time when obamacare was going to be a decisive issue, it should have been in 2012. We saw what happened there. It did not sink barack obama in 2012. Thats because mitt romney was a horrible messenger on health care. That gets to our next question. Is donald trump a great messenger on this . I dont think. In addition to the fact that he has no alternative, ill just point out that he was just lying kind of gratuitously in that clip we showed recently, that Hillary Clinton wants to have the government take over all of health care in america. Thats just blatantly false. He also, as i said, doesnt have an alternative. But the other thing thats true is that youre right. Obamacare is more popular than it is popular. More people dislike it than like it. But the numbers are its not that much more unpopular, which is to say the split between favorable and unfavorable is only a few points. And its been really stable for now two or three years. The split, high 40s versus mid to low 40s on the unfave versus fave. And i dont think what happened last week is going to radically change that to the point its really going to matter on election day. Just let me be clear. I know weve got to go, but let me be clear. I dont think its a silver bullet. I dont think its going to be some huge game changer. All im saying is between bill clinton inc. And wikileaks, the comey comment and health care, i think Health Care May be the one that is helping trump the most. All right. Ill take that under advisement, as your doctor. Up next, russia and taxes, a trump tale. Well be right back. Style lets you stand out from the herd. Whats inside sets you apart. The 2016 cadillac escalade. There has been a truckload of main headlines for donald trump, just in the past 24 to 36 hours. And lucky us, they fit nicely into two categories. Some have to do with Donald Trumps finances. We will get to those in a moment. But first, mother russia. In the past 24 hours, we have read four, count em, four different reports examining potential ties the between trump world and what mitt romney likes to call our nations biggest geopolitical faux. First weve got mother jones with the story that cites, quote, a veteran spy who specializes the in russian counterintelligence. That story says the fbi received investigation about the russian government allegedly trying to coopt and help trump over the past five years. Nbc news also rather than a story that says federal authorities have been looking into former Trump Campaign chairman, Paul Manaforts business dealings in russia, though not as a criminal matter. Meanwhile, slate says that computer scientists have been looking into possible communication between a server belonging to trump and two servers registered to a major russian bank. And in the New York Times, with its own sovietinspired piece yesterday, they knocked down that theory, reporting that while the fbi has been looking into multiple leads involving trump and russia, including that server business, no evidence has emerged that linked the gop candidate or any of his inner circle directly to the russian government. So, mark, thats a mouthful they just read. Some of these reports contradict each other. All have been denied. My questions to you are the following. Is there any there there . And if so, will it matter in the outcome of this president ial race . Well, theres no doubt that after this election, the press is going to have to do a lot of soul searching about its failure to pursue a lot of these trump stories over the course of a year and a half. Theres a lot of stories that didnt get enough coverage, that should have gone from print to television. In this case, on this bundle of stories, i think trumps praise of putin, trumps failure to put out his tax returns to disclose whether hes got dealings in russia that hes denied, i think those are the big russia stories that have some tangibility. This swirl of stories, i think, probably wont matter much. And based on what we know, im not sure any of them do. If some of them turned out to be true, they would be a huge deal, but i dont think theres enough there right now to say that they are. I agree with that and pretty much everything you just said. It is one of the great outrages of this campaign, and there have been many of them, but weve beat this drum for a long time, that donald trump did not put out his tax returns, and as much as we called for it, we couldnt get any leverage on that. The world should have come to a halt. It would have been nice, if it had. And a big part of the reason why, when people say, why do you want to see the tax returns, we really want to know, is trump in bed with russia, does he owe them money . What are the financial connections, because of the fact that he has had such a strange consistent fondness for Vladimir Putin. And given that the russians according to all the National Security and intelligence agencies that are responsible for these hacks that have consumed so much of our time, trying to influence our election in this way, we should know more about a lot of the things these stories glance at, get at. Theres some contradiction, but, man, this is something that still feels really, really suspicious and hinky to me. Yeah, when trump failed to denounce putin when asked about his murdering of journalists, i really do think, in a campaign filled with low points, that was really one of the low points. Somebody who claims the mantle of Ronald Reagan and wants to associate himself with Ronald Reagan, to have replied the way he did. So i think, i think trumps overall me that relationship and relationship with russia is a big deal, should be a big deal, but again, i dont know that any of these stories here, particularly in the context of the comey thing, are going to break through. Ill add to the low points, that says a parallel thing to that thing you mentioned, which is the notion that we had a republican nominee or a nominee for either party saying that Vladimir Putin is a better, stronger leader, or at least a stronger leader, than the president of the United States, barack obama, or any president of the United States. Im really interested, i hope someone will look into this conflict between the New York Times and that slate story. Because if that slate story is true, thats really damning. The notion of a server linked up directly to a russian bank. That would get us into some interesting story, and i dont really understand how those two stories could come to such opposite conclusions on that front. All right. Confusing . Heres Something Else a little bit confusing. Donald trumps financial dealings. They are once again manking new in various ways in this president ial race. Theres another New York Times story out today that show documents that purport to show that back in the early 90s, trump used a sketchy tax avoidance maneuver around the time his Atlantic City casinos were filing for bankruptcy. The move would have saved trump tens of millions of dollars in federal income tax and the documents obtained cited by the times purportedly show that even trumps own lawyers called the gambit legally questionable. Two other stories along the same lines, Washington Post had a story, one that came out amidst the comey comment the other day from the great david fahrenthold, who was a fahrenthold classic, it raises more questions, more questions about trumps Charitable Giving claims. The other Washington Post story is a mattea Gold Standard about trump apparently refusing or at least reevaluating payment to his campaign pollster, tony fabrizio. So, same question we asked about the russia stuff. Is there any there there on the financial stories and will any matter in the last week . Well, i think the New York Times piece is on the basis of how much it gets into this detail of another its now the second big New York Times piece that suggests that donald trump has played the tax system in a way that no normal human being could and has avoided paying taxes for many, many years. I think that story is as devastating, maybe more devastating than the first one, that suggested that he might he could have not paid taxes for many, many years. I think, you know, look, Donald Trumps hiding his tax returns. We just talked about this in the last topic. Hes hiding them for a reason. It now seems to be circumstantially clear that the reason hes hiding them is because he hasnt paid any taxes for a really long time and he understands the political damage from that would be huge. And that hes willing to take the damage of not being disclosive rather than taking the damage of what if it was all laid bare for people to see. Im glad the times has been on this story and i think for some number of people in the country, th is the kind of thing that is like disqualifying or as disqualifying as anything else trump has done. Yep. I urge voters to read the Washington Posts two stories as well as that times story. Theyre all really interesting. They give you a fuller picture of donald trump. I dont think any of them, again, will be Game Changers in the last week. But theyre all important and good for them to continue to pursue investigative journalism, all the way through. I will say, again, for republicans and others who dont like the fact that donald trump is the nominee, the people who did their Opposition Research for the other 16 candidacy ates need to wonder and ask themselves, how could they have not found this stuff . All right. When we come back, we will take a swing through the polling jungle with our favorite survey monkey man, right after this. This is humira helping to relieve my pain and protect my joints from further damage. This is humira helping me go further. Humira works for many adults. It targets and helps to block a specific source of inflammation that contributes to ra symptoms. Humira has been clinically studied for over 18 years. Humira can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. Serious, sometimes fatal infections and cancers, including lymphoma, have happened, as have blood, liver and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worsening heart failure. Before treatment, get tested for tb. Tell your doctor if youve been to areas where certain fungal infections are common, and if youve had tb, hepatitis b, are prone to infections, or have flulike symptoms or sores. Dont start humira if you have an infection. Ready for a new chapter . Talk to your rheumatologist. This is humira at work. Well, if you want to sing out, sing out and if you want to be free, be free cause theres a million things to be you know that there are and if you want to be me, be me and if you want to be you, be you cause theres a million things to do you know that there are im not a customer, but im calling about that credit scorecard. Give it. Sure its free for everyone. Oh well thats nice and checking your score wont hurt your credit. Oh im so proud of you. Well thank you. Free at at discover. Com creditscorecard, even if youre not a custome welcome back to the badger state. Election day is a week away. Were keeping a close eye on all the polls, as are you. So is our next guest. Joining us now from stanford, california, is john cohen, the senior vp of survey research at survey monkey, whose latest poll along with nbc news shows clinton with a sixpoint National Lead in the fourway. We had him on two weeks ago, when you had a rosy projection for Hillary Clinton. There was talk back then of her breaking 300 electoral votes, et cetera. Were two weeks later, one email bombshell later. How are things looking . Well, as you said, last time we were talking about, could she reach 400, actually, i think was the question at the time. And now were talking about how she can solidify her path to 270. And were doing a 50state tracking poll at survey monkey. And in todays map that we released, shes at 262. She has to recover a little bit to get passed the 270 and beyond to create a mandate. So, john, is this, is this the reason this is tightening, is this being driven mainly by the comey letter or is this a natural tightening . Were doing a sevenday track, were 3 1 2 days precomey and 3 1 2 days post. We dont know whether or not were looking at noise or not. At the state level, were looking at little, small changes. Shes a little ahead in some tossup states where if she gets them all, shell be well into the 300s again. Right now the map certainly looks different. The mainly issue is just a bad one for her, the email issue. 83 of likely voters think it was inappropriate that she used a private email server when she was secretary of state. When the attention is on her and with her historic unpopularity, shes more vulnerable. On the flip side, you talked about all the stories on your last segment about donald trump. When the focus is on him, he suffers, because he also has unfavorability ratings just as high as hers. John, im here in wisconsin, where trump and pence are coming in just a little bit, and we saw them in michigan yesterday, out in new mexico. Are is your sense that those states have moved at all, and the Trump Campaign has a reasonable chance of winning one or more of them, or is this out of desperation because they cant fine 270 votes in their original plan . Weve had wisconsin much higher than everybody else. Weve had wisconsin up a single percentage point day to day. Thats down from leaning in her direction a few days ago. We have to see in the coming days whether shes the truly in that tossup category, whether it moves more solidly back in clintons camp, but its certainly vulnerable. And the email issue and the focus on it kind of makes the turnout and focus for the Clinton Campaign 15 of clintons own voters think the email issue and the fbis reopening of the case is a major issue to discuss, not simply a distraction. John, i think the last time, when we were talking about the 400 electoral vote question around Hillary Clinton, one of the questions we were talking about it was in the context of a bunch of expansion reach states for democrats. Utah, arizona, texas, georgia. Are those now off the table for Hillary Clinton or are some of those still in play . Well, as of today, texas is off the table, but georgia and arizona are still there. Of course, thats not the campaigns main focus now. Its in wisconsin, as mark mentioned. Its even in michigan, where our data show that as a tossup. And some softening in north carolina. Can you talk about utah . Im interested in that one because its such a weird race. We have trump up a few points over clinton and then a few points more over mcmullin, but mcmullin has clearly gained momentum over the past couple of weeks, but were asking that every day, as we are everywhere else. John, take a moment and explain to people the methodology that survey monkey uses. Sure. So the key to any good survey these days is a good random sample, and we have the luxury at survey monkey of having 3 million respondents a day to the survey that are sent out by friends that you may have, kind of, what to bring to a barbecue. What to bring to another party or your employer or some company you buy something from. And what were doing is doing random sampling on the back of those surveys and getting estimates on a rolling basis. Weve interviewed about 1 Million People over the course of this campaign. And now were doing daily in the states. Its a real unprecedented effort, as far as polling goes. You know, were doing not only all 50 states, but we just published a little while ago results in all 34 senate races and all the gubernatorial contests, as well. So its a major effort that we and were sharing those learnings as well as the results on a daily basis. So, john, in a phrase or two, how would you evaluate Donald Trumps chances of winning 270 electoral votes . Still extraordinarily slim, but theres now uncertainty in the contests where there wasnt when i was last on the program. Okay. John cohen, the great john cohen, thank you very much. You just heard about the numbers in this contest. When we come back, were going to talk about the strategy, right after this. I have asthma. One of many pieces in my life. So when my asthma symptoms kept coming back on my longterm control medicine. I talked to my doctor and found a missing piece in my asthma treatment with breo. Oncedaily breo prevents asthma symptoms. Breo is for adults with asthma not well controlled on a longterm asthma control medicine, like an inhaled corticosteroid. Breo wont replace a rescue inhaler for sudden breathing problems. Breo opens up airways to help improve breathing for a full 24 hours. Breo contains a type of medicine that increases the risk of death from asthma problems and may increase the risk of hospitalization in children and adolescents. Breo is not for people whose asthma is well controlled on a longterm asthma control medicine, like an inhaled corticosteroid. Once your asthma is well controlled, your doctor will decide if you can stop breo and prescribe a different asthma control medine, like an inhaled corticosteroid. Do not take breo more than prescribed. See your doctor if your asthma does not improve or gets worse. Ask your doctor if 24hour breo could be a missing piece for you. See if youre eligible for 12 months free at mybreo. Com. But dad, youve got. Tes are probably gonna double. Allstate. With accident forgiveness they guarantee your rates wont go up just because of an accident. Smart kid. Indeed. Its good to be in, good hands. Just serve classy snacks and bew a gracious host,iday party. No matter who shows up. Do you like nuts . If and when hillary is president , what do you think will be the female equivalent of you werent born in this country . Thats an interesting question. Thank you, i have a lot of those. I think the equivalent will be, shes tired, shes moody, shes being emotional. Theres just something about her. Theres something about her. When men are ambitious, its just taken for granted. Well, of course, they should be ambitious. When women are ambitious, why . That theme, i think, will continue, throughout her presidency. And its contributed to this notion that somehow she, uh, is hiding something. That was president obama on tbs full frontal with samantha bee last night. Joining us is a. J. Delgado and clinton supporter harold ford jr. Hi, guys. Whatd you think about that, obama and bee there . Hes always interesting, shes a talented comedian. So its always nice to have a sitting president comment with a little bit of humor on the election. Im fine with that. So tell me about why you think the race is right now . Youre here representing the Trump Campaign. What do you think . Weve been talking about it all half of the show. What do you think it is . I think we can all agree its tightening in mr. Trumps favor. We saw a huge swing, thats an understatement, in the abc poll, where we were down by 13 points about a week ago and now up one. Rasmuss rasmussen, were tied and in certain swing states, its a dead heat. Shes losing her lead in virginia. This is not looking good for Hillary Clinton. Harold, what do you think about that . I think theres no doubt that the numbers have tightened. We remain confident in all the battlegrounds. I think theres a lot for mr. Trump to overcome in the last few days. Put aside this weekend story regarding mr. Comey, the facts of the race dont change and the positions that shes taken and that mr. Trump has taken and the direction they want to take the country, none of that has changed. So if you feel like Hillary Clinton was the best position to lead the country, to make us safer and stronger again and more prosperous, nothing has changed between now and last wednesday that would cause any voter to say, i dont believe shes capable of doing that. We just talked earlier about this in the show, harold, about the kind of pan apply of negative headlines and bad stories about donald trump, some related to russia, some related to his taxes, some related to other financial matters. If you were running the Clinton Campaign, which youre not, what would you want to focus on among those stories to drive the narrative over the course of the last six or seven days . I think the fact that mr. Trump refuses to release tax returns. The fact that mr. Trump has had business dealings where hes had old partners of hi say, i didnt feel like i was treated fairly by him. I would focus there, her, some on the negative part. But i would take these last few days to lay out where i want to take the country. I think the mandate shes going to have is going to be predicated not only on making clear why donald trump is not fit to be president. I think that narrative is out there. No disrespect to a. J. But i think that narrative on our side has been put out there. I think for her to have a mandate when shes elected, shes got to remind people about her infrastructure spending. Shes got to remind people about her raise in wages. Shes got to remind middle class families, this is about empowering you, through making health care more affordable and education more assessable. Good education options. Im ready to be president. Im ready to manage World Affairs on americas behalf and ready to grow this any in a way to build on the successes of the last eight years. A. J. , do you want to respond . Ive got to disagree with that, harold, with all due respect, no pun intended. I do think the last few days have changed things for voters. I think when we have hundreds of thousands of emails that have ended up on Anthony Weiners laptop, a man of very dubious character, we have to ask from a National Security standpoint, which is a top issue for nearly every American Voter, how could this person then be elected to serve at the highest levels of office . At the highest levels of handling classified information. Shes already shown herself not being able to do that. And that just proves it. And as far as the mandate, mr. Trump for the past year has been traveling across the country, laying out specific plans, even plans on issues as detailed as combatting the heroin epidemic were facing in this country. I dont hear Hillary Clinton speaking about that. On jobs, on trade, on immigration, on Border Security participate i remember reading one independent article that said that Hillary Clinton is a great candidate, but a policyfree one. And i thought that was such an astute observation, she always speaks in these vague platitudes about raising wages and all these things shell promise, but its lalmost policy and specifis free. You have 800 payments of policy on her website versus about 100 on yours. And you judge it based on the website. A fair amount of detail which you guys have not done. Her immigration policy on her website is frightening to any American Voter whos concerned about immigration and security at the border. We can say a lot of things about secretary clinton, but one thing thats unfair is she has not been specific about policies over the course of her public life. In fact, i think shes probably been too specific at times and drawn voters to think that maybe shes not as exciting a candidate, because thats where her focus has been. Obamacare, do you take credit, then, as she does, for obamacare, which has proven to be a disaster this month. Well, it hasnt proven to be a disaster. It needs to be fixed. Come on, harold. Shes indicated shes ready to fix part of it and so has president obama. She said, lets be clear, she recently tweeted, before they called it obamacare, they called it hillarycare. If one of the differences on our campaigns is were going to sure that the 22 to 23 million americans who have Health Insurance now because of the Affordable Care act have health care, ill embrace that and take that. Does it mean to be fixed, of cour course. Harold, is there any way to look at the fact that tim kaine is in colorado, is there any way to read that except concern for the Clinton Campaign that trump may be threatening in these states . Were near the end of the campaign and they understand that turnout and every vote matters. So i would hope and you can read what you may want to read into it. But i dont think theres any doubt the race has tightened. I think if you were to ask a lot of clinton operatives and those very close to the campaign day to day if they were surprised by this, i think most would say no. Theres no doubt there was surprise last week with the way mr. Comey decided to inform congress and voters as to what he was doing, and the way in which he described it. So i dont deny that. But i dont think anyone should be surprised that our top operatives and our best campaigns are out in the best states. We need to win those states and send our best people there. Okay. A. J. , i know youve been asked this before. Im going to make one last try. Mr. Trump doesnt want to release his tax returns, he says, because hes under audit. Why cant he release for every year, simply, his income, his effective federal tax rate and his charitable deduction amounts . Because thats all intertwined with the audit. And mark, with all due respect, again, i keep saying that phrase, really, the only tax return that matters to the American Voter at the end of the day is my own and those of my friends and families. Its only donald trump that has a plan to put more money back in our pockets, return those jobs weve lost andreate more jobs. I dont think this is a big issue for the american public. It is for the media that is intent on bringing down donald trump with the silliness of the tax returns. Were too busy caring about our own tax returns to worry about that. Releasing those numbers have nothing to do with the audit. I would urge you to ask him to release those, so people can have a little more information, as they have about every general election candidate. I would never suggest somebody release this. And i cant believe a week into the election, were discussing this rather than the 650,000 emails that ended up on Anthony Weiners laptop, which is a huge National Security concern. Dont know why were still on that topic. Were discussing both. Have less than 30 seconds. Ask you each for a headline. What will a headline be for the newspaper a day after the election. Harold . Clinton wins and mandate is understood. Raise wages and empower the middle class. A. J. . Peoples champion wins in a landslide. America wins. Clinton wins again. One headline, right, you said per person . Typical clinton cheat over here. We just met, too. Wow we just met she keeps saying with all due respect, i dont think she knows what that phrase means, harold. Thats a little harsh. I dont think either one of you should be in the headlinewriting business. A. J. Delgado and harold ford jr. , thank you both for coming on. Coming up, we have ralston reports with, the great john ralston reports, next. And if youre watching us in washington, d. C. , you can listen to us on the radio, radio bloomberg 99. 1 f. M. Well be right back. He was 34 eastern european. So i went onto ancestry, soon learned that one of our ancestors we thought was italian was eastern european. This is my ancestor who i didnt know about. He looks a little bit like me, yes. Ancestry has many paths to discovering your story. Get started for free at ancestry. Com when youre close to the people you love, does psoriasis ever get in the way of a touching moment . If you have moderate to severe psoriasis, you can embrace the chance of completely clear skin with taltz. Taltz is proven to give you a chance at completely clear skin. With taltz, up to 90 of patients had a significant improvement of their psoriasis plaques. In fact, 4 out of 10 even achieved completely clear skin. Do not use if you are allergic to taltz. Before starting you should be checked for tuberculosis. Taltz may increase your risk of infections and lower your ability to fight them. Tell your doctor if you are being treated for an infection or have symptoms. Or if you have received a vaccine or plan to. Inflammatory bowel disease can happen with taltz. Including worsening of symptoms. Serious allergic reactions can occur. Nows your chance at completely clear skin. Just ask your doctor about taltz. Back in wisconsin in time for our very own customized ralston report. With us from vegas, john ralston, the editor of the ralston reports, a columnist at the gazette journal, and a contributing editor at the politico. John, welcome what is going on in the u. S. Senate race there for harry reids seat, and how is that impacting potentially the president ial race . Yeah, its a very good question. I guess i have to tell you that i think this is the most amazing senate race that ive covered. And you guys know, ive covered every one since 1986. Its going to be 100 million race, more outside spending than ive ever seen. And i really think it could go either way, still. And it essentially has boiled down to joe heck not versus Catherine Cortez masto but, joe heck versus harry reid. Harry reid has been all over this race, in the background on one side and in the foreground on the republican side and while the early voting numbers dont look good for the republicans, remember what happened in 2012. Obama won the state by almost seven and dean heller pulled out the senate race by 12,000 votes. So, john, is the fact that the senate race is competitive the kind of coalition the two Senate Candidates are trying to put together, does that advantage either of the president ial candidates . You know, its interesting, mark, because i think theyre totally divorced from each other in many ways. And not just because heck divorced himself from trump, which nesinitially caused him at of problem, even his campaign would admit, but doesnt really now. The coordinated campaign between the Hillary Clinton campaign and the reid democratic machine has been so focused on getting out the democratic base, which i think is going 90 for clinton, 90 for cortez masto. And what i understand, heck, so far is mirroring trump, which is a real problem for him. The entire heck strategy in this logistics is knowing theyre going to lose early voting to hope to minimize that loss and win on election day by four, maybe five points. Little margin for error there. So, john, i want to step back and get a little bit more altitude on the discussion, with just on the president ial race in your state, okay . Somehow, nevada has become one of the key states for donald trump, that hes going to have a path to get 270 electoral votes. If you looked at Barack Obamas victories in 2008 and 2012, and the demographic composition of your state, you wouldnt have thought that nevada would be up there with places like iowa and ohio, much whiter states. You wouldnt have thought that would be one of the keys to trump winning, yet, hes competitive there. So just explain to me why. Well, its a very good question, john. And i guess what i would say about that is, is he competitive here . I always thought that the state leans towards clintons, for the reasons that you mentioned. The fact that the hispanic vote is probably going to be above 20 . But, i always go back to what trump said on the night that he won the caucus here, when he looked at the exit polling and he was almost surprised, and he said, what none of us would say aloud, look at how i did among the poorl equitied. I love the poorly educated. Nevada has a lot of poorly educated folks, no doubt about it. But i dont think theres a path hear for trump, unless theres a total implosion in the early voting numbers in the last four days, but they must have polling that shows that, because trump was here and then because theyre continuing to campaign hard here with surrogates, including the great jon voight appearance tomorrow. Youre looking forward to that, im sure. But the reality is not only are they spending time there, but the polling there has been kind of see sawed back and forth, kind of suggested, trumps been ahead in some polling there and its been tighter than you would have expected. So, again, what explains the fact its even in play . I would have thought given the demographic trends, that this staf would have been put away for Hillary Clinton in the way that colorado seems to have been put away for her months ago. Well, i think thats a reasonable assumption. And lets assume for a second the polls are right. Im not so sure thats a good assumption. Because you guys and i have talked about polling in nevada for years. It is not good here. Its very difficult to poll here. But heres whats going on here. And you will get some sophisticated democrats to acknowledge this. Hillary clinton is not barack obama. There was real excitement, enthusiasm, the base got out enthusiastically to vote for barack obama here in 2008 and 2012. There is much more dragging out of homes, having to bus people, doing things they didnt do before. Theres a lot more registration in gee owe tv groups on the ground here, on the democratic side, than there ever have been before. And theres one other phenomenon thats going on here, thats going on elsewhere, in early voting, young, africanamericans are not getting out to vote in the numbers they did in 2008 and 2012. Great john ralston, thank you. Well check in with you begun so again soon, i hope. Up next, while much of the National Media is gathered here in eau claire, wisconsin, tonight, we wrestled two of them to the ground and had them come join us. That after words from our sponsors. I just want to find a used car without getting ripped off. Start at the new carfax. Com show me used trucks with one owner. Pretty cool. [laughs] ah. Ahem. Show me the carfax. Start your used car search at the allnew carfax. Com. Ii could stand in the middle of a5th avenue and shoot somebody and i wouldnt lose any voters, okay . And you can tell them to go f a themselves. You know you could see there was blood coming out of her eyes, blood coming out of her wherever. You gotta see this, i dont know, i dont remember. Hes going like i dont remember. im not a customer, but im calling about that credit scorecard. Give it. Sure its free for everyone. Oh well thats nice and checking your score wont hurt your credit. Oh im so proud of you. Well thank you. Free at at discover. Com creditscorecard, even if youre not a customer. I am a First Responder tor and iemergencies 24 hours a day, everyday of the year. My children and my family are on my mind when im working all the time. My neighbors are here, my friends and family live here, so its important for me to respond as quickly as possible and get the power back on. Its an amazing feeling turning those lights back on. Be informed about outages in your area. Sign up for outage alerts at pge. Com outagealerts. Together, were building a better california. So you see the guy every day. Where do you think his head is at as his campaign expresses more confidence, his inner confidence that he can win or will win . Well, you know, ever since that fbi reopening of the investigation, ive noticed a shift on the trail. Not only in the crowds, but also in the candidate himself. You know, just when that broke, we were all over the country in the past three days and hes definitely seen a new energy. Its definitely been a shift, quite frankly, since the last time that i was here and all those accusations from all those women have come out. Katy, i get why we see trump and pence together in pennsylvania today, doing the Affordable Care act event, because they really want to emphasize that message and pence has some expertise there, but why are they together in wisconsin as opposed to the norm of fanning out . Reporter well, what they needed to do in philadelphia was find a way to get those suburban women to join trump. And they feel like the best ally they have is governor mike pence. So who better to come out on stage and nail through these or hammer through these policy points. It is interesting that they are so laser focused right now on the offeredable care act. You know, mark, you and i have been talking about how donald trump should have been hammering the wikileaks stuff a little more but kept straying from it. It seems like someone finally got into his ear and is telling him to stay on these issues that will benefit him, and potentially help him gain ground, going through the election season. Through the next week. But it is notable, governor pence was with him outside of philadelphia. Ha hes staying in pennsylvania, because pennsylvania, frankly, much more so than wisconsin, is a mustwin state. If they dont get pennsylvania, its hard to see what the path to 270 is. And right now, they are struggling, especially amongst suburban women, in the suburbs of philadelphia. Yeah, the Trump Campaign tells us that scott walker will be here tonight, reince priebus, both, obviously, from wisconsin. Whos been out traveling with him lately . How are they doing at getting the kind of republican politician support on the trail that clinton gets all the time from the democrats . Well, youre seeing people like Rudy Giuliani and youre seeing people like bobby knight, as well, who was with him today as well as yesterday. But youre also seeing some of his closest campaign advisers, like jared kirschner, as well as steven miller, his senior policy adviser. I would say on the issue of the obamacare and the Affordable Health care act, if you talk to senior advisers, they almost view this as a secret weapon of sorts and a closing argument. Because if you go to those suburbs, if you go outside of philadelphia, go to some of these other battleground states, obamacare is incredibly unpopular, particularly as these new reports of increasing premiums come up. And so i think that is theyre trying to showcase perhaps a more substantiative side of donald trump as he makes his closing argument. Katy, were all sort of braced to see if anymore stuff breaks. Do you feel like the Trump Campaign is still in the mode of hoping theres additional wikileaks disclosures, additional stuff from the fbi, or do you think theyre comfortable with the hand they have now . Well, i think theyre happy with the hand they have now. Im not sure if comfortable is the right word. And im not sure that you could say anybody knows if anything else is going to break in these next seven days. Certainly, the fbi revival of that investigation came as a surprise to absolutely everybody, including house republicans, senate republicans, as well as the Clinton Campaign wib itself. So comfortable is not a word i would use, but i would say theyre hopeful going forward, able to focus on this fbi revival and looking into the emails again. Also focus on the premiums rising in obamacare and its unpopularity among, you know, the suburbs of philadelphia,like kevin was saying, but also the rigged system and using the donna brazile, cnn, potentially giving questions to a cnn debate, to Hillary Clinton, using that as a perfect example of their rigged system, being favored for Hillary Clinton in favor of someone like bernie sanders. Theyre able to not necessarily get more folks into their tent, but mostly, make sure that republicans out there who have been unsure of donald trump, for the past 17 months, come home to the Republican Party and vote the ticket all the way through. They need to find those moderates that they havent been able to get. Those have been uncomfortable with trump. And if theyre able to say, hey, listen, Hillary Clinton is somebody if she gets in office, could potentially face an indictment, theyre hoping that is going to convince those that are still the outliers to come in and say, you know what, ive got to vote for donald trump. This is something that i need to do, because i cant let Hillary Clinton get into office. That being said, it is a very high hurdle for him to overcome. Paul ryan is not here in wisconsin today. Its a pretty notable with donald trump, at least, a pretty notable snub. John kasich, the other day, voted for john mccain, wrote him in on his ballot when he was voting in ohio. So the gulf between donald trump and some more moderate republicans or some traditional republicans, i should say, is still pretty vast, and its something that not even disdain for Hillary Clinton can help bridge. Katy tur inside the event, well see you in there in a second. Kevin cirilli here with me, thank you both. When we come back, final words, right after this. The pursuit of healthier. It begins from the second were born. Because, healthier doesnt happen all by itself. It needs to be earned every day. Using wellness to keep away illness. And believing a single life can be made better by millions of others. As a Health Services and Innovation Company optum powers modern healthcare by connecting every part of it. So while the world keeps searching for healthier were here to make healthier happen. The world is full of surprising moments. Theyre everywhere. And as a marriot rewards member, i can embrace them all. The new marriott portfolio of hotels now has 30 brands in over 110 countries. So no matter where you go, you are here. Join or link accounts at members. Marriott. Com. All right. Got to head over to bloombergpolitics. Com right now and read all about the campaign and donald trump and Hillary Clinton are lawyering up for the possibility of election overtime. Tomorrow, mark and i will both be on the road. Im going to utah. Its going to be fun. For me here in new york and mark up in wisconsin, we say to you, sayonara. Hardball with Chris Matthews is next. Mutual destruction . Lets play hardball. Good evening. Im Chris Matthews in washington. Morning in america, this is not. With a week to go and National Polls tightening, Hillary Clinton and donald trump are unloading on each other. The latest Washington Post abc news poll released today shows trump at 46 , Hillary Clinton at 45 . Trumps gained two points this last week in this poll, while clinton has lost three points. Several other recent polls show clinton ahead