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♪ ♪ ♪ good evening, our countdown clock continues to kick away. 17 days, 19 hours, 59 minutes and 39 seconds and counting until the first polls close on election night. here we are back where we were last friday night and where we will be every friday night at this time, counting down to election day. early voting, election day is pretty much underway in a dozen states, where early voting has already begun, including georgia, north carolina, both starting up this week. each of th...

good evening, our countdown clock continues to kick away. 17 days, 19 hours, 59 minutes and 39 seconds and counting until the first polls close on election night. here we are back where we were last friday night and where we will be every friday night at this time, counting down to election day. early voting, election day is pretty much underway in a dozen states, where early voting has already begun, including georgia, north carolina, both starting up this week. each of those states h...

♪ ♪ ♪ good evening, our countdown clock continues to kick away. 17 days, 19 hours, 59 minutes and 39 seconds and counting until the first polls close on election night. here we are back where we were last friday night and where we will be every friday night at this time, counting down to election day. early voting, election day is pretty much underway in a dozen states, where early voting has already begun, including georgia, north carolina, both starting up this week. each of th...

Election night, getting closer and closer by the second. we have talked tonight, we talked last week about the issues of the economy and inflation, about how republicans have enjoyed an advantage on the, might explain why they taken a lead in the generic ballot. we talked about how democrats hope the issue of abortion will help them to counter the, help them to bring out some new voters, extra voters this fall, bring that turnout level to new heights. theres another issue though that republicans...

>> i am wondering whether or not its more like 2018 you showed the numbers earlier, that was interesting, the dems had a seven-point lead since they took over the house, but in the same election, the republicans have picked up seats in the senate, because their math was better. as you look at this election, i am wondering whether democrats have strength in the center isis, or as the house races not to look up. or history matters, you and i are data geeks if you look at the past 40 years, electio...

When you look at that trend line we showed, where over the summer, when abortion was getting a ton of attention, obviously, the ruling had just come down, everybody was digesting the implications, and he saw democrats actually take the lead under the generic ballot, and now you see them falling behind by three points. has the residents of the issue lessened with different up to voters, swing voters? >> i dont think so, i tweeted out in may the punch -- when i sent those midsummer numbers were su...

Ahead, but here it is, its the last week youre looking at here. its the real divergence, weve seen it over the last week, republicans have opened up a lead, the size of which they have not had in months. again, this is just with a little bit more of two weeks between now and election day. the question is, have they open up a lead for good here? couldnt get wider? or are we in for another change in these final days, these final weeks of the campaign, could democrats tighten that still once more, ...

Atlanta, thank you for joining us, appreciate that. and from one battleground state to another, lets go back to the board here. we were just talking about what was going on in georgia with walker -- with or not, excuse me, leading the polls there. lets go to the other side, the republican held seats that democrats are targeting. again, democrats are trying to prevent republicans from getting a net gain of one seat here. you see, we talked a lot about pennsylvania on paper, thats where democrats ...

Theres been movement, theres been a change. republicans have now opened up a lead in excessive 3.1 points, the average, the real clear average. republicans with that advantage now. so, you start to see here, if you take the trend line for the year, it really does start to look like republicans are creating some distance here. lets just remind you, go back to me, go back to the spring, republicans have been pretty solid advantage on the generic belt. remember in 2021, this off year elections, the...

Very likely to win the arizona gubernatorial race is not done. she has a narrow lead. shes likely to win. shes one of the people a lot of people thought, i thought, was committing suicide to nominate a stop to school person like her. turns out, shes a practice performer, been on tv for more than 20 years. she actually might help blake masters get over the top. the senate, a lot of these races still really close, but i think the overton window is thought some. i would say last week, if you ask me...