Page 363 - Composition News Today

Except the composition of the court. we now have at least four years of a trump presidency. we have three very elderly justices, who are roe v. wade supporters. their tenure on the court is the most important question about roe v. wade. >> jonathan, you agree with that? >> i think thats true. i think that whatever else is said about the legacy of the trump administration, he is, at this point, in an almost unique position, he could easily appoint four new justices to the court. and those justice...

Away? >> it can go pretty quickly, but the supreme court vacancy story of when the justices leave, thats the key variable here. nothing else really matters except the composition of the court. we now have at least four years of a trump presidency. we have three very elderly justices, who are roe v. wade supporters. their tenure on the court is the most important question about roe v. wade. >> jonathan, you agree with that? >> i think thats true. i think that whatever else is said about the legac...

Doing both of these jobs simultaneously. we knew from the very beginning that these entanglements that trump has in his businesses with foreign governments and people all over the world would pose an unprecedented problem in a presidential administration. i think having the adult children as part of the transition doesnt assuage any childrens about whether those entanglements will continue to impact the composition of the government. we know that ivanka and the other children are close advisers ...

We said to also look at the composition of the electorate. what share of the electorate are black voters. four years ago, 23%. tonight it does appear to be down slightly, from 23% four years ago to 21% tonight. but still, an overwhelming democratic win among black voters and progress for democrats among white voters. that is good news for them in north carolina. let me show you ohio. what we have right there. again, that college/non-college divide. ohios a different state. and let me show you ex...

Other party, what you would want to be is the senate minority leader. youd want to be chuck schumer in terms of being able to use the procedures of the senate to try to belong things as they go. they dont really know what the composition of the senate is going to be we dont have a call in new hampshire, or the pennsylvania senate races. still four outstanding. those numbers will become very, very important. but we do know that the house will go to the republicans. that paul ryan will at least st...

Ohio. steve kornacki is at the board with more of our numbers. >> yeah, well, we are waiting now. poll closings coming up in ohio, north carolina. i think you know the stakes. in both states, north carolina, president obama was down there a week ago. he said, if hillary clinton wins this, she wins the election. story of the night here. it really is about demographic composition. just how divided we are. take a look in ohio. the black vote here is critical for democrats in ohio. remember, preside...

Through a lot of changes. he had a huge target on his back. heres the north carolina senate race. rachel was talking about too close to call at this hour. a whole lot of people watching that one. and the u.s. senate composition right now is about like that. thats the real moving target tonight that will be all over the place. >> that senate race has been so fascinating to watch. debo deborah ross was the challenger here. she has been a really good candidate. shes run really hard. richard burr, t...

Im not evolved enough. thats what today comes down to though. nobody knows the numbers if as well as you do, ron, but theyre all predicated no matter what demo youre looking at, at who comes out today. if those lines arent the reality all over the country, someone is going to lose their opportunity to complain. >> every four years the biggest problem pollsters have is not figuring out how groups are going to vote, its how much of each group is going to vote and figuring out the composition of th...

>> what do both campaigns need to happen today? this is where they are. they are not working it. right now, you moved totally to the get out and vote mechanism. everybody is in a cramp. they wish they could do something else. they cant move anymore. what are they sitting and hoping for? >> every four years, we say the composition is important. the share of the vote is which is white voters and non college white voters and the gaps of the groups are voting and it is so large that the real issue i...

Nation is. essentially split evenly on whether they want policies akin to president obamas or more liberal, or the compelete opposite. >> angry. you have a very unhappy electorate right now. if you look at the breakdown -- we always have to remember there were a lot of early voters, so the composition may be a little different when you add that in. but it doesnt look that different from the composition in 2012. these are early numbers. we have to wait and see. right now we have white voters, abo...