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November 3, 2016
>> well, first of all, when you look at the african-american voting early voting say in north carolina, republicans will point out that they are doing less bad, less poorly than did mitt romney. they ended up winning in 2012. the republicans did. romney did in 2012. i think that the hispanic vote in states from north carolina to arizona, colorado. these are states where she, hillary clinton, can define her own coalition of ascendant voters and we know thats true of the latino community across th...
November 3, 2016
He is saying north carolina, especially african-american folks, they are making it hard for you to come out. by they, he means the republican infrastructure. he probably has a good case. here is some of his sound. >> those who wanted to suppress the vote, they will fade. the law was struck down. your rights have been restored. it is easier to vote in north carolina. if you dont vote, then you have done the work of those who would suppress your vote without them having to lift a linger. come on. ...
November 2, 2016
Had a vacancy that was as prolonged as theyre suggesting was actually for over two year, about two years and three months, that was in 1844. you have ted cruz saying theres a historical precedent for having less than nine justices. for 150 years the composition of the supreme court has been to have nine members on the bench. it is important to note that senate republican leadership is not voicing support for this plan. in fact, chuck grassley who chairs the senate judiciary committee he tried to...
November 2, 2016
Or i suppose college educated white women could be part of that coalition? >> its all a turnout question. how will they be able to turn out enough voters to replicate numbers they got in 2008 and 12. it might be the latino vote, the millenial vote, the womens vote, we dont know exactly what the composition will look like. at this point in the race it is close enough, i think this is a turnout game. the question is how big of a difference a turnout operation can make, one to two points. if its on...
November 2, 2016
A dieoff on the supreme court. i want the be very clear. to say that we will keep that seat open is to say we hope the actuarial charts catch up with some of the democratic appointees and they die so things can even up. thats whats implicit in that promise. >> and chris, the last time you had a vacancy that was as prolonged as theyre suggesting was actually for over two year, about two years and three months, that was in 1844. you have ted cruz saying theres a historical precedent for having les...
November 1, 2016
The reid democratic machine has been so focused on getting out the democratic base, which i think is going 90% for clinton, 90% for cortez masto. and what i understand, heck, so far is mirroring trump, which is a real problem for him. the entire heck strategy in this logistics is knowing theyre going to lose early voting to hope to minimize that loss and win on election day by four, maybe five points. little margin for error there. >> so, john, i want to step back and get a little bit more altit...
October 30, 2016
Violate a federal consent decree that the republican national committee has been under for many deckates because of its prior misconduct in trying to target minority voters and dissuade them from voting. >> and we can put up a little clip from that consent decareer, and its a consent decree that was signed by both parties after the parties sued the rnc back in 1981 in a new jersey gubernatorial election. that decree enjoins the republican party to refrain, the rnc refrain from undertaking any ba...
October 30, 2016
Among florida likely voters hillary clinton and donald trump neck and neck. white voters with a college degree in florida in our poll donald trump is up two points -- or three points over hillary clinton, 47-44. what does that tell you fernand, if anything? >> in florida, as cornell said earlier, the ultimate battleground prize, going to be close no matter what. barack obama had a jewel of a ground operation in 2012 and only managed to win the state by less than a percentage point, but what has ...
October 18, 2016
I mean, really, the question for me is what is donald trumps orientation and kind of strategy in this debate because as we said he was look at a ceiling of around 42% before all this happened. now hes struggling to get to 40%. and yet what he has been doing in the last few weeks with these increasingly outlandish claims of the election being rigged or "the new york times" being against them because theyre serving the interest of a mexican billionaire. what hes basically doing is doubling down on...
October 6, 2016
Pluth give interviews and he was unflappable. his whole thing was you guys are all freaking out. the fundamentals are the fundamentals. we know how many votes we need in each of these counties and swing states, we know what the composition of the electorate is. dont worry about it. that to me seemed unpersuasive then but maybe looks better now? >> yeah, well, i think hes right. the fundamentals are the fundamentals. the map is the same and the math is the same. its a much harder road for him to ...