part. i suppose . bill: here is the number i picked up i want both of you to react to. exit polling. independent voters. president obama did well. 52-44 snore john mccain. that s an 8-point advantage. there was a poll that showed governor romney up 15 points in that same group of voters. to both of you, you worked campaigns, you know what to look for. andrea, is that what you are looking for? is, and enthusiasm. independents in the middle. they determine elections consistently and bob won t disagree with that. we see independents breaking in big numbers for mitt romney. president obama has a problem with his base. he s worrying about turning out the same people he turned out in
telling my friends is pay no attention to exit polling. so many people voted early. that s wildly distorted. secondly, the polls close in florida in the eastern time, an hour before they close in the panhandle. if obama wins in the east, you re still going to lose florida because hundreds of thousands of people who talk like me will vote and will have another hour to vote. what i m really looking for, these will be a bunch of close races. david plouffe was talking about loudoun county, virginia. that is a real bellwether. the question is, it may be 50/50 in loudon county. and then good luck. there are so many close things in this election pointing out one or two is almost doing people a disservice. melanie barnes, you have a question for the governor. i want to go back to the governor s comment about the storm and i think we shouldn t look at the storm as a false reshaping of the election. i mean, politics are about
want to happen. okay. mika, i would add one other thing to your list of exit polls and moment up closing in the polls, sandy, but also early voting. right. exactly. when we have people voting for at least a month, month and a half and so we don t know i mean, we know by the tallies that the secretary of state from the individual states with the reporting and party affiliation and things like that, but until those are counted until tonight when we know how folks actually voted, i mean, i don t think we know. that feeds into the sort of uncertain. should we ask the voters a question to that? it makes the exit polling more complicated. as the numbers that make exit polling those early numbers will be some of the polls, actually, some of the polls are accounting for the early votes. some of them were doing it badly. let s go to boston, msnbc s chris jansing who is covering the romney campaign is standing by. chris, mitt romney and paul ryan will be in cleveland and pi
administration with president obama. there is a growing consensus among political experts that given the wealth of conflicting political data in these final days, here is what they know, that they don t know anything. there is not one person alive who can say which party will go home with the win come night. brit hume joins me now, fox news senior political analyst. good to see you. thank you. martha: have you ever seen this feeling as tense as it is and sort of everybody all over the map with 24 hours to go? it was pretty tense in 04 and pretty tight. we had that episode in 2004 when the early exit polling point towed a john kerry win, eyes top aides congratulated him. may be the first to call you mr. president, and of course he turned out not to be mr. president. that was tense particularly in the afternoon when commit polling information came n. i don t think i ve ever seen a race where everybody is as
own money in one of her campaign ads. she points out she went through bankruptcy and pulled herself up, which would certainly be an appealing message to some voters on either side. we ll see what happens in the races where we re keeping our eye on i guess the year of women 2.0, or whatever they call these things these days. thank you so much, mark. great pleasure. coming up, if president obama wins, could his victory be a template for democratic victories for years to come, a template maybe your kids kids will be talking about? plus, no booze on election day? wtf! why there is a ban, yeah, i said it. why is there a ban on alcohol in some states? some people are going to need a stiff drink. it s one of the things we thought you should know. just a little yuk yuk today. and tumblr, behind the scenes pictures, including me rehearsing for our exit polling. and a shoe dilemma facing face