Forecast Error News Today

what were learning about that call. and the intensifying war of words between the u.s. and russia. top u.s. officials warning vladimir putin of catastrophic consequences just days after the russian leader issued a thinly veiled nuclear threat. all that playing out as outrage builds forcing hundreds of thousands of reservists into combat. the growing desperation leading to violence at an enlistment center. we begin with the threat from hurricane ian. we just got an update on its tra...

Companies need to ensure they are disclosing accurate information, especially if they are using artificial intelligence, the head of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said on Wednesday after Lyft was forced to correct a major forecast error. SEC chair Gary Gensler, asked about the incident, told CNBC in an interview that he could not comment on any specific case but that in general companies have a responsibility to ensure they release correct details about themselves and their financ...

The summary of a report released early morning Friday, an economic forecast from UHERO - the University of Hawaiis Economic Research Organization - expects the State economy to see "slow

It should intensify to a category four late tuesday or earl wednesday. theres going to be large waves, but it will not be a direct hit or a lot of damage in the keys. and then we got this forecast that includes the cone. as i mentioned, almost fort myers, all the way over to panama city. this red line is what the forecast is. it could really -- theres a forecast error built in. thats why we have this cone. we could see a landfall of sarasota or could have it up here towards the big bend and mayb...

Difference in the eventual movement of these storms, literally thousands of parameters that were trying to measure and put into computer models to be able to get these tracks. a small change can cause that forecast track to nudge a little bit. thats why theres so much uncertainty. and we spend a lot of time talking about the actual cone because you look at the last five years, and thats the forecast error possible with that track. we try to communicate these uncertainties, and it does happen esp...

Had to nudge to the north. now it has an influence. tiny changes can make a big difference in the eventual movement of the storms. thousands of parameters that were trying to measure and put into models to get the tracks. a small wobble or change can cause that forecast track to nudge a little bit. thats why theres so much uncertainty. we spent a lot of time talking about the actual cone. you look at the last five years and thats the forecast error possible with that tract. we try to communicate...

More. we take these month els, we call them the operational models, we tweak them a little bit. maybe we make the high pressure system a little stronger or weaker. we come up with the american model, 26 different options off of this, with the european, 51 different options. its a little more confusing, thats what the hurricane center is doing. >> all week long ive been hearing reports historically, that the european model has been corrected. i believe the european models had it going into the gu...