Page 3 - Kavanaugh Effect News Today

The senate, where is that as of tonight? >> it looks like republicans will keep the senate. they might even pick up seats. north dakota kramer took the lead and he is up by double digits against heidi heitkamp. i think missouri and indiana look like pick up opportunities for republicans. you want to talk about the kavanaugh effect? thats real in the state of missouri. josh haldey ran an ad after the confirmation hearing and attackiattack ing claire mccaskill. heller has been up in some polls. i ...

Leaving people behind. for the immigrants, immigration is the steroid shot in the arm that really bolsters us. the kavanaugh effect was a sugar high, it ended very quickly. one of the things that republicans do. threat of the other, the invader. this migrant caravan, over 1,000 miles away and not a threat at this point in time, it really does resonate. i mean, when i look at what trump talking about the migrant caravan, if we ever hear from a defense contract for the defense department that an a...

And responding to chants of "lock her up." so i think were going to see more of the same, that were in a base mobilization mode, and its either going to mobilize the presidents base, the democratic base, or both of them. >> david? >> yeah, you know, its so tough to predict. but im going to go out on a limb and do a little bit of predicting. im going to say that in system of the red states where the senate elections are so key and pivotal, the kavanaugh effect is still in operation. theres still ...

The same from democrats. but you dont really see the same intensity from the loss and now this could just be the voters that we encounter but i actually was surprised that a win still seems to be carrying republican anger and giving a sense of mission to voters who hadnt, you know, been that super charged about the mid-terms. >> so, elise, tell us what else? other than the kavanaugh effect, what else are you hearing in new hampshire, iowa, across the country? >> new hampshire was interesting bec...

Whoever, you look at democrats shaking your head going no! no, this is not the way you respond to a loss. you respond to a loss by, by doubling down your efforts. but right now they are so deflated, its just really -- its pretty stunning. >> well, democrats just need to get out of their own way. the momentum really seemed to be behind the blue wave and then in the past couple of weeks ive been lucky to get out on the campaign trail with lord ashcroft polls and doing focus groups in new hampshire...

As new numbers do show a remarkablily close mid-term competition. two weeks out, this is how cnn rates it. 206 lean likely or solid for the democra democrats. 201 lean likely or solid for the republicans. look at the new numbers. this is just choice for congress battle ground districts. this is "the washington post" polling. look how close this is. this is just key battle ground districts, but look at this. points. now three points. statistically that is insignificant. its not a huge edge. what ...

For four in 10, it didnt make that much of a difference. 2% said they are less motivated. when you look at the house, democrats said they have the advantage. in the senate, they think the kavanaugh effect will have an impact. the key races are in republican-leaning states. democrats hoping to hold montana. the president has been out there twice. he may go back. the kavanaugh effect works better in these states in the western senate races that they need to flip or in the case of nevada and arizon...

It does appear from not just this "wall street journal" poll but other polls that the approval rating has ticked up a bit. it is still, as "the wall street journal" indicates underwater. but its better than it was and that does help republican candidates in this upcoming election for sure. >> shannon: "the wall street journal" says over the last couple of weeks theres been disclosure in key swing districts. they talk about how this gap has closed up. if they say in districts rated as the most co...

>> right. and i think that was a miscalculation by the democrats. i thought the democrats thought that the me too movement would infuriate women that what happened with judge kavanaugh and the allegations of dr. ford would excite their base and would make them determined to come out. were going to see if thats true. but we do know so far that it seems to have rebounded to the republicans favor. the polls show and once again there we have to be cautious about them, but the polls show that the kav...

Fewer fuhrer, i would say brett kavanaugh might fall into that camp. you have this incident which stands to upend our relationship with saudi arabia. do you have any confidence that this is going to be that, that were going to see a radical pivot as a result of what happened? >> i dont think any single incident will lead to a radical pivot but i think there is a cumulative effect of destroying the story of america and the actual support beams for our democracy. so our economically, foreign polic...