Page 5 - Kavanaugh Effect News Today

It feels to me very much like 2016. matt schlapp former white house political director for president bush. good morning to you. full disclosure, you are hosting events for republicans and you have skin in the game here. >> i do. im a partisan, no doubt about it. >> bill: does it feel like 2016 to you? >> no, this is a very different endless shrimp is back at with all the shrimp you want, cycle. each cycle is unique. any way you want them. i think the one thing that is theres new sesame-ginger gr...

Or updated their status in 2018 versus about 40 million in 2016. so youre absolutely right, youre going to get less. but what we really care about is looking at the partisanship: its all about the ground game, chris. so, you know, we really want to see the rate of democrats versus republicans actually registering. and theyre -- you know, theyre strikingly similar from 2016 to 18. >> you have been -- you guys have been polling in all these races, and youve got this amazing thing where youre doing...

Democrats registering. we said the same thing in 2016. >> its not quite apples to apples, its a midterm versus presidential. >> in raw numbers theres actually less, about 25 million new people who have registered or updated their status in 2018 versus about 40 million in 2016. so youre absolutely right, youre going to get less. but what we really care about is looking at the partisanship: its all about the ground game, chris. so, you know, we really want to see the rate of democrats versus repub...

Shot. the pig was still eating. theres a reason why the description pig fits as appropriately as it does. >> mika has her quirks. thats why we love her. >> we love you, willie. >> speak for yourself. gene, do the best you can to erase everything -- >> come on. >> -- that you just saw. lets try to talk about the previous segment for a second. it is striking how well democrats are doing in these house polls. the ones we showed this morning, especially the suburbs. theres a kavanaugh effect in tenn...

2012 campaign. hes the democratic strategist. here in new york with me, noelle nikpour, author of "branding america" along with patrick murray. patrick, ill start with you. we have all the polling numbers out there. im just curious what youre seeing in your own numbers. how big has the change and the energy balance been between the two parties, and how much staying party does that have with three weeks to go? >> we saw a summer where democrats were normally energized. a lot of what weve seen ove...

Districts that will be so hard for republicans to hold. >> and here is my question when you get to the races like this. is this a post kavanaugh effect where districts like this that youre looking at here, the suburbs of washington, d.c., a place hillary clinton won by 10 points in 2016, is it so strong that youre going to get a series of giant blue waves in districts like this. the question i have, though, is when you go to the next level of district, a place where donald trump maybe did better...

Something interesting a potential divergence. another new poll is in the iron range of minnesota, the eighth district of minnesota, diuluth and the iron range, the democrats not running again. one of those districts that went obama, trump, held by a democrat. over the summer this was a dead even race. this has broken in a big way for the republicans. >> whats happened? >> kavanaugh effect. i wonder if youre seeing -- this is trump country. this is white working class. this is blew collar. trump ...

Obviously, because for this niche its so important for donald trump to have adoration from any front. look at chicago. i know. look at what he did when he started talking about beating people up. whenever donald trump starts to feel the energy go down -- >> spotlight turned away. >> hes an action junky. >> he goes crazy and becomes more intemperament and starts talk about beating people up and ill pay for your legal bills if you beat them up. so perhaps we have that. >> can i make this point abo...

Out between republicans and democrats ahead of the midterms in 22 days are dems getting nervous for another election disaster? joining us right now to break down the numbers. former polster for the cruz campaign and ceo chris wilson. overall the kavanaugh effect is lasting, it seems. >> it is. you see republican enthusiasm has matched and some cases even exceeded where democrats have been throughout the entire election cycle. brian: i know you ted cruz and you understand what its like for donald...

Hanging. >> so there it is. this is interesting because republicans felt over the summer they had polls shows fitzpatrick their incumbent leading, they thought democrats had made a big mistake nominating this candidate, didnt even live in the district until recently, but it may be that that suburban energy to go after trump is so strong it overrides everything here. >> the one thing ive been in thing in the upshot polling, during kavanaugh and post kavanaugh every race was breaking republican. i...