Page 4 - Kavanaugh Effect News Today

If hes going negative like that, its usually a sign of some sort of frustration and that might be a race where the kavanaugh effect really made a difference because if i recall the polling i think it was tighter before kavanaugh. but i have a feeling no matter what -- this isnt going to be the last we hear of beto orourkes name. >> is he in the wrong state? you look at all these viral clips of him speaking, he talks about what it means to be texan today and his sense of that state is different f...

About have the republicans narrowed the energy or the enthusiasm gap, and i dont think so because i think democratic enthusiasm is, you know, in a world record guinness territory. if the kavanaugh seat remained open on election day maybe it would narrow, but now were back to normal and he wants the referendum on him, ask congressman conor lamb and senator doug jones how that worked out for them. >> paul butler, i saw you nodding when we were talking about brett kavanaugh. whats your sense of the...

>> right. and i think that was a miscalculation by the democrats. i thought the democrats thought that the me too movement would infuriate women that what happened with judge kavanaugh and the allegations of dr. ford would excite their base and would make them determined to come out. were going to see if thats true. but we do know so far that it seems to have rebounded to the republicans favor. the polls show and once again there we have to be cautious about them, but the polls show that the kav...

Matt rosendale is going to get a big bump out of that. does he go to indiana and west virginia? if he does thats another case he can help bring the candidates across the fin finish line in the end. ed: lets end quickly on the so-called kavanaugh effect. is that real or exaggeration? >> it is real. im doing polling in a lot of these races, what i saw immediately following the kavanaugh vote was particularly in states like north dakota, montana missouri, where you had democrats who voted against k...

Care. other polls have shown that. economy, yougov. but trump, he said its actually my fault theyre coming because the economy is so good. so its another way of subtlety reminding people this economy is mine and you need to show up there. and i think that republicans, when they hear those two issues, it really fires them up. at the same time, you hear through the rest of the country, 36% of the country says were headed in the wrong direction and the vast majority of the americans say the tax cut...

Places where maybe theres a kavanaugh effect helping democrats a little bit. heres what im talking about. what you see here, these yellow splotches, there are 25 of them on this map across the country. 25 districts that republicans now hold in congress but that voted for hillary clinton in 2016. they didnt like trump. they reelected a republican and democrats think thats their first line of attack. a lot of these districts are in the suburbs. and we have gotten some fresh polling evidence just i...

Suburbanite. extremely motivated. in the past willing to vote republican for their local congressmen. >> in suburban districts theres enough of them to make democrats the majority party. >> potentially. i think theres enough to get them to the cusp of it. where the issue comes in and where it gets complicated, kavanaugh effect in the suburban areas that boost democrats there. if you want to call it a kavanaugh effect, say it was a natural thing that would happen anyway, when you get to districts...

Jackson. he insists he just took accusations and started to investigate them and that it was jackson on his own who decided to withdraw. dana? >> dana: all right, peter. you do a very loud whisper. im impressed. well see you on the golf channel next. >> reporter: thank you. >> dana: for more on this, lets bring in karl rove former white house deputy chief of staff, who wrote this morning about the october comeback for republican. look at this generic ballot. this is the fox news poll from last n...

>> shannon: what do you think of the polls that show 18-point deficit among the gender gap for the republicans with women? do you think the message is not getting through or is it overshadowed in the tweets and the back-and-forth? >> i have never believed polls. we saw polls in 2016 were not accurate at all. i still think that it carries over now a bit. i will tell you after what i call the kavanaugh effect, honestly after the kavanaugh confirmation the number of women that are more inspired on ...

You could make an argument that cavanaugh is motivated on both sides. if you look at these the battleground house districts, maybe this is further energized democrats in those places. and then you look at a tennessee or a north dakota, a red state, it might cut the other way. the other thing in that box news positive, it has trumps ratings at 47%. if you look at the average trump approval rating, hes at his highest level since the first week of june. it seems every time he reaches one of these p...