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October 15, 2018
Kavanaugh effect, we had the high watermark of it. the question as you said, its going to subside for republicans. i want has to because hes on the court. hes on the court now. theres a diminishing return for that argument. i sense in house races, that the house races are not nearly as affected some of the senate races. some senate races where it will be decisive. north dakota, you look even a place at tennessee where phil breseden who came out in favor of kavanaugh. last week there were a ton o...
October 15, 2018
Kavanaugh effect is having this effect on latino voters. one of the things that process did was focus republicans on what the stakes are because they havent been legislative up until now. you mentioned the wall. the reason we dont have the wall is because republicans are at odds over that. that has been the tip -- thats how you tipify the last two years. republicans are eager to vote for republican. >> which basically the thrust of the des moines registers editorial on why the paper is endorsing...
October 15, 2018
Look at this polling about the midterms. when you look at whos going to -- whos interested in coming out and voting, white voters at 61%. african-american voter, 53%. latino voters, 49%. >> one thing we know is that the average age of a latino voter is far younger than other demographic groups. by definition less people are likely come out. when youre a very young voter and have other things going on, other distractions from voting, its going to perhaps affect that community a little bit more. t...
October 14, 2018
Alice, one finding stood out for me that i think is really important here. both sides are talking about. and its the kavanaugh effect. 33% of responded to the registered voters saying the debate over kavanaugh made them more likely to vote for democrats and 27% for republicans and 39% say it makes no difference at all. the president last night was out talking about how kavanaugh was treated. he has talked about this has really fueled republicans. either there was no kavanaugh bounce or its bounc...
October 14, 2018
What do you think of that? >> i agree. thats why youre seeing an increase in voter engagement and enthusiasm as we enter into the fiej d final days headed into the midterm. you were seeing candidates running at the state level who are authentic and leading in their own home states on issues that are affecting their voters at home. issues like health care and education and a living wage. whats effecting their voters and thats part of the reason why youre seeing the youth engagement, voters 18 to ...
October 14, 2018
Got to keep the senate in republican hands because we need to control judicial no, maam nei -- no, maminations and youll democrats say we had a travesty, in their opinion, we need to put democrats in charge of the senate. unlikely the democrats will take the senate. i think that the bottom line is that the kavanaugh effect is to just gin up enthusiasm among voters of both parties and were also seeing that reflected in the polls as you mentioned. >> i suspect maybe a relationship between the pres...
October 14, 2018
More likely to support the idea of impeachment and much more likely to say they will vote for a democratic candidate than a republican one. >> we hear about the kavanaugh effect. that is not netted out the data we saw today. whats your sense of how that will drive voters to the poll come november? >> i dont think we really know what the kavanaugh effect is except to say its definitely energized both democrats and republicans. i think well see this in the senate races because its the senate that ...
October 14, 2018
Kavanaugh. the question is whether or not that energy that republicans have can hold over the next several weeks because democrats are also energized in their own way. but theres definitely this sense, and even senator corden said, i believe, on friday, that theres a chance that republicans could pick up seats in the senate which would be highly unusual. and so theres a shift happening. whether it shifts back between now and election day remains to be seen. >> i was just in missouri for a few da...
October 13, 2018
Problem in the midterms. 18 to 29-year-olds, 66% arent certain theyre going to vote. and i believe it was politico who had a survey that said theres a latino problem -- >> david, address that data. >> the truth about the kavanaugh effect is if there is one it goes to the benefit of the democrats. the generic ballot, people saying they want a republican or democrat controlled congress, the democrat is stronger after kavanaugh at 13. and the gender gap is huge over 30 points. so white college educ...
October 13, 2018
Good stuff. time is going fast. passions running rather high. all across the country right now on all the campaign trails. pete: thats right. hard to keep track. pabring you some of the top races to watch. his pick real clear politics founder tom bevan. tell us what the trends look like. lets break down three races folks should be paying attention to. sneanged senate race. right now the democrats according to your polling has donnelly up by 2%. thats a fox news poll, excuse me. you also have an ...