Page 171 - Methodology News Today

Carolina, virginia, and certainly as james said florida. the fact of the matter is, and a number of folks have touched on it tonight. there was an expectation that the hispanic vote was going to outperform and do this voodoo and they did, they did it well. but what people continue to underestimate in this election is the white vote. that vote that is not hunkered down in the cities, that is outlining those cities, thats out in the rural and the suburban areas. trump knew they were there. he went...

Election projections like this and they have hillary clintons chances of winning higher or lower depending on who you ask. looking at them real quick, the huffington post as a polling aggregator, theyve got clintons chances at 98%. the princes election consortium has her at 99%. the professional prognosticators like cook and roth and larry sabato, theyve got the race forecast as either likely democratic or leaning democratic. so theres a range of projections out there depending on the methodolog...

Like cook and roth and larry sabato, theyve got the race forecast as either likely democratic or leaning democratic. so theres a range of projections out there depending on the methodology of the different forecasters and what they consider to be the relevant data at this point. but all of the nationally recognized forecasters, all of them, are now predicting that its more likely clinton will win on tuesday night than trump will win. but if you have been feeling a little tension in the reair, th...

The princes election consortium has her at 99%. the professional prognosticators like cook and roth and larry sabato, theyve got the race forecast as either likely democratic or leaning democratic. so theres a range of projections out there depending on the methodology of the different forecasters and what they consider to be the relevant data at this point. but all of the nationally recognized forecasters, all of them, are now predicting that its more likely clinton will win on tuesday night th...

Lower depeing on who you ask. looking at them real quick, the huffington post as a polling aggregator, theyve got clintons chances at 98%. the princes election consortium has her at 99%. the professional prognosticators like cook and roth and larry sabato, theyve got the race forecast as either likely democratic or leaning democratic. so theres a range of projections out there depending on the methodology of the different forecasters and what they consider to be the relevant data at this point. ...

Week? absolutely not. you have enough stability that you know where things are at, so when mark says texas is going red, you have a pretty good sense that it is going red. when you see new hampshire in purple, it deserves to be there. >> it sounds like you say methodology matters. >> thats what its all about. i thank you for sbroointroducin as father time in polling. >> i said youve been on television every night. >> what can i say? >> more for you here, peter. the concept of a natural tightenin...

Tried and true method. they play the race card. they did it against mitt romney, against -- >> well, let me -- >> this is certainly not what the democrats talked about doing in the final days of this election. it was supposed to be going high. shes clearly. >> going low. >> running scared and going after donald trumps character. >> shes not running scared. she is making sure the contrast is real. theres no question -- >> the whole idea of going high is done away with. >> the fbi news on friday c...

Romney -- they did it against mitt romney, they did it against -- >> let me bring up -- >> this is certainly not what the democrats talked about doing in the final days of this election. i mean, it was supposed to be kind of, going high. she is clearly running -- >> well, she -- >> running scared and going after donald trumps character. >> shes not running scared. she is making sure that the contrast is real. because theres no question that the -- >> but the whole idea of going high -- >> so the...

Presidential accountant, evan mcmullin. sean spicer was on the show a couple days ago and he told me trump is going win the state hands down. what is he missing? >> well i think hes missing that people in utah are just not excited about donald trump at all. that is why hes struggling to win the state that mitt romney won and other republicans have won by large, large margins. that is the bigger story here. we saw the monmouth poll come out today. but it had a poll come out two weeks ago that had...

Electoral map. why do the polls show show many different things, so many different readings, so to speak? >> so, if we were talking about different -- well, a couple things. one is you may have a poll that has a different methodology, i suppose than another poll thats taki taken in a state for instance. some polls are garbage, theyre not real scientific, or if they are quote/unquote scientific, theyre not good scientific and quite frankly we have outliers, as well, where there are going to be po...