Page 173 - Methodology News Today

>> abc showing a 12-point race. thats by far an outlier. the demographics that make up -- >> thats not necessarily a phony -- >> the phony polls are online polls donald trump always seems to be referencing. even the rasmussen poll isnt something we would use. >> okay, again, you get to make that decision. i think when you look at the ma rasmussen poll and ibd poll, the ibd poll was the most accurate poll going back a couple cycles. i get you might not like it but its been one of the most accurat...

Rasmussen poll and ibd poll, the ibd poll was the most accurate poll going back a couple cycles. i get you might not like it but its been one of the most accurate polls going forward. >> for clarification, we dont use it because they dont reveal their methodology and the rasmussen poll uses a combination of online polling and telephone polling. >> right. i understand that, but im not saying that you have to accept it, but it doesnt make it phony. >> just today donald trump said in response to an...

Ill pread it to you. major story that the dems are making up phony polls in order to suppress the trump. we are going to win. do you see our cnn/orc poll that came out today which shows hillary clinton nationally with a 5-point lead as phony? >> i think the sampling was clearly fraud. theres no way hillary clinton is leading in some of these categories. despite the flawed methodology and the flawed. they believe he is the right candidate to do that. weve been talking about process, we. we need h...

Lies. >> i want you to explain what he meant when he said, im sure shes never been grabbed before. explain what his point was. >> wolf, mr. trump has said very clearly with all these false accusations and these false allegations that they are completely 100% false, all of them. think about it for a moment. where were these accusers when mr. trump had the number one show on tv? where were they when he kicked off his campaign? where were they when he won the republican nomination? where were they ...

And the voters. so for donald trump going after the polling is just another way of going after the establishment. we have seen his less than lukewarm affirmation of republican candidates when the party is desperate for him to try to help down ballot republicans. he can barely do that. we have seen him fighting against all things establishment. polling which is a core part of the election process which brings together different media groups who own this information collectively in some instances,...

Joining me is the campaign manager for trump, kellyanne conway. welcome back to the show. >> hi, chuck. >> let me ask you, most of polls have shown a large lead for secretary clinton. there are a couple that have different methodology that have shown a tighter race. where do you see this race right now? do you acknowledge that youre behind? >> we are behind. she has some advantages like $66 million in ad buys just in the month of september. thereby doubling her ad buys from august. most are nega...

Joining me is the campaign manager for trump, kellyanne conway. welcome back to the show. >> hi, chuck. >> let me ask you, most of polls have shown a large lead for secretary clinton. there are a couple that have different methodology that have shown a tighter race. where do you see this race right now? do you acknowledge that youre behind? >> we are behind. she has some advantages like $66 million in ad buys just in the month of september. thereby doubling her ad buys from august. most are nega...

Welcome back. out this morning is a new abc tracking poll. it has tough news for donald trump. the poll has hillary clinton up by double digits nationally, 12 points, 50 to 38, a four-way race. this is according to them likely voters. last week they had clinton up by four. joining me is the campaign manager for donald trump, kellyanne conway. welcome back to the show. >> hi, chuck. >> let me ask you about all of these national polls that have come out. most of them have shown a large lead for se...

O outpacing 2012. 45 million people expected to vote before election day or as much as 40% of all votes cast. many endorse early voting as a means of boosting participation but one of my guests believes it has a negative impact on the democratic process. a visiting fellow from hoover institution. first, while we cant see the ballots that have been cast so far, nevertheless, they give us clues to whos winning and losing and for that, i turn to michael mcdonald. associate professor of the universi...

Does that stand out from the way exit polls are typically conducted? >> the methodology is the same but the selection is vastly different. usually in an exit poll you would pick a bellwether precinct or voting district and from what i know, the locations in that article that i was quoted in, are vastly different, and they are picking polling places in urban areas, predominantly that would normally vote democratic, and to me it -- it doesnt sound like exit polling and it sounds more like the gath...