Page 174 - Methodology News Today

Nine from cbs. do your internal polls suggest that all of these polls are wrong? >> well if you are talking about national polls there were also three polls released in the last day or so, national polls, that ras mussing, the l.a. times poll and the investors business daily poll and they show donald trump ahead by a point or so. >> im only interrupting for a second bato say we dont use the polls because of the methodology. just to note for the viewer. go ahead. >> in any event when you look at ...

So unpopular. i talked to a party chairman in arizona, who was for trump, totally supported him, but he said, were working in the same direction, but we have different goals. my goals are to turn out all republicans and at this point in the race, not all republicans are for donald trump. >> so how are campaigns, in terms of methodology or mechanics, how are they trying to find ticket splitters? >> we tried to recreate this with me and my colleague, sasha issenberg. we took two different sets of ...

Pulse of the folks youre talking to. >> theres a lot of undecided people. there really are. you mentioned the arizona republic poll. i dug into that and their methodology is off. theyve overcounted the democrats by 20 percentage points. its probably closer to that. it is neck-and-neck which is crazy because no one has won here as a democrat in the last 20 years since bill clinton. >> why are you seeing this race so close in this state? >> i think youve got to say it. donald trump is a very flawe...

Trump bus later. but first, melania speaks. so melania trumps husband gets caught on the access hollywood video bragging about sexual assault. he describes his methodology in detail and that video is played for the world ten days ago, and melania trumps husband is not in trouble with her. because in the trump household there is apparently no such thing as sexual assault. >> in terms of what he actually said on the tape, not saying he did it, but what he said, the behavior he described to you, is...

Mark halperin and correspondent for the huffington post, sam stock. >> here on set we have veteran ad man donny deutsche. >> veteran. >> veteran. veteran. >> richard and former treasury official and "morning joe" economic analyst steve radner. >> mark, listen, a tale of two polls. the abc poll, which well get to very quickly -- >> actually, right now. why dont we do that? >> it shows pretty close. within the margin of error, according to abc news. the nbc poll differently -- were going to read t...

To defend himself. he has to talk about the issues. a global conspiracy the media is putting forward because of the allegations against him. these are self-inflicted and the arguments to try to justify donald trump running his campaign into the ground and burning down the gop in the process is amazing to me. >> hes winning in polls today. >> hes not winning in polls, hes losing. >> yes, he is. the rasmussen and the l.a. tracking polls. >> they are not included in whats considered to be normal po...

Trump doing better than others. as of this morning, 44.2% for trump. hillary at 44.1%. whats the difference? how do preelection polls match the final results? i think youre about to be shocked. david lauder, i have to note, the methods of the l.a. times poll dont meet the cnn standards and yet, in 2012, that poll said, your poll said obama would win by 3.38% and he won by 3.85%. and the applied statistics at columbia university co-authored a saying the margin of error in polls is actually double...

University he proved that the error in polls is double. david how does your methodology differ from the conventional polls? >> well, michael, there are a number of things that are different. probably the most important thing is we ask a different question and because we ask a different question we get a somewhat different answer. rather than forcing voters to say im for this person or im for that person we ask them on a scale of zero to 100 whats the chance that youre going to support hillary cl...

Of a silicon hill. >> today, apple holds more than $137 billion of its profits overseas. much of it in two small irish companies. one with no employees. while the actual cash is held and invested by new york banks, the paper profits are steered through an office park in reno, nevada, and then back to the emerald isle where its taxed at rates more than 1%. >> senator, were proud that our r&d are invested in the united states. >> i know, but the profits that result from it are sitting in ireland i...

One with no employees. while the actual cash is held and invested by new york banks, the paper profits are steered through an office park in reno, nebraska, and back to the emerald aisle where its tax reigns more than # %. >> senator, were proud that our rnd are the best in the united states -- >> i know, but the profits that result from it are sitting in ireland in a corporations that you control that dont pay taxes. >> part of the methodology of these new companies was that they in some way re...