Page 10 - State Polling News Today

President biden entered the race to now, biden is up five and warren is up nine and sanders is down six and kamala harris helding steady and pete buttigieg down three. what do you see that is significant? >> first, it is striking how much the national polling and the state polling have the same pattern of the five candidates separating from the rest of the field at this point. they are consistently the top five everywhere. there is no question that warren is rising at sanders expense. that is in...

By a lot and every poll that i see and i have were doing well. i think well do well in michigan. traditionally its democrat and i won it last time. i was up in wisconsin recently. i think well do very well there. you know, i think -- i think were going to do great. >> just for the record, this is public polling, not the presidents internal polling. national poll, quinnipiac had vice president biden up 13 points and other democrats up two. were focusing on the biggest margins here. michigan, bide...

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And they are more or less taking away from bernie sanders i think in some of the undecideds. so it is a combination of things. but these two women have something very much in common. they are just very methodical in going after this one step after another. they know that it is a marathon. and they are building organizations, that is where most of warrens money has been going. and i think harris is picking her shots very carefully. >> and when you look at the national polls, those are national po...

The story lines were following tomorrow? >> i think polling has gotten a bad rap. its generally been pretty accurate. frankly the last polls of the 2016 presidential election had hillary clinton up by three points. she won the popular vote by two points. the national polls were pretty accurate. there was a late break to trump at the end of the 2016 campaign. its not that the polls were wrong its that the voters were feeling differently. there were significant state polling errors especially in w...

>> lisa: the generic ballot means less now than looking at these congressional districts and the state polling, and abc with the poll at 66, what they consider toss up, which not that many toss-up districts, and republican have a one point advantage, and then you look at the senate races in and overall, and then in the states that republicans are just sending come of the republicans are starting to take the lead and republican candidates have opened up where they are trying to take states like n...

Her through it. >> melissa: when it comes to the impact on senators running for reelection in states that president trump won, senator claire mccaskill facing off against republican challenger josh hawley in the recent missouri. mccaskill announced that she would vote against kavanaugh before last weeks testimony. now, new state polling shows 49% of voters, the confirmation process says they will make them less likely to vote for her. 42% say it will make them more likely to vote for her, and on...

Harry and i write about this. typically, the guy or gal who is in first who is ahead in early polling tends to be there right at the end. thats joe biden right now, ahead in national polling, early state polling and ahead, by the way -- it got missed, but by double digits over donald trump in general election polling. at this date, if you are betting, joe biden is your best bet. the question is he is 75 years old. does the party want that now? >> how old is trump? >> 72. >> there you go. all rig...

November 7 through the 13th, asking if the election were today would you want to see the republican party of the democratic party win control of the house representatives, 38% said republican party, 51% said democratic party. you made more money but it doesnt seem like the sentiment is necessarily there, how do you respond to that? >> if we believed in state polling, hillary clinton would be president, not donald trump. we believe in the hidden trump voter that doesnt want to talk to a pollster,...