Page 12 - State Polling News Today

We pulled it into the toss up column. on the surface looks better for donald trump, but, and it is a big but, look at brand-new state polling out that reinforces how steep, improbable even donald trumps path is. in iowa, a state he led consistently, now quin penipiac says it is a tie. and it says in polling among those who voted early clinton has an edge. democrats using their organization to put iowa on the map. georgia, we talked about utah and arizona. here is the third reliably red republica...

>> we dont want to take it for granted, but we are winning in a lot of states. i have to say, the media now, theyre going wild. the medias going wild because theyre saying, you know, this guys winning. in florida. hes winning in north carolina. hes winning in iowa. hes winning in ohio. >> the media isnt quite saying that. well, a rash of new polls suggest the race has tightened slightly, in recent days hillary clinton continues to hold the lead over trump nationally, and a clear lead in enough b...

Hes winning in ohio. >> the media isnt quite saying that. well, a rash of new polls suggest the race has tightened slightly, in recent days hillary clinton continues to hold the lead over trump nationally, and a clear lead in enough battleground states at this moment to put her over the top. adjusted national polling average, nate silvers 538, shows clinton with a six-point lead over trump overall. adjusted state polling averages slow clinton with leads in all four of the states trump mentioned ...

Anything, point to tom cotton winning by 17% two years ago in arkansas and mitch mcconnell winning by 13%. nothing predicted to anything that close to that kind of landslide. i learned, trust the real clear politics average and campaign on the issues. >> what do you think was, i hate to take you down a rabbit hole you dont want to go down but why was the race underpolled? why was mitch mcconnell underpolled? >> i think state polling is more difficult than national polling. ive tried to clear it ...

Photos from romney rallies in places like colorado, where he was packing red rocks saying, look, somethings going on out there that the polls arent measuring. mitt romneys going to surprise everyone. sure enough, on election day, it wasnt a surprise, if he had been looking at the state polling, showing obama had been ahead. the story is even bleaker for donald trump. there are odds that he will just hold the states mitt romney held is coming into question with states like north carolina now havi...

Two days to go until the final presidential debate, three weeks until election day. and the national polls are going, hillary clintons way. kristen, i want to get this off the table quickly, donald trump is calling mitt romney a choke artist, how is he doing in the polling compared to mitt romney at this point in the campaign? >> mitt romney was down by maybe 2 or 3 points. people thought going into election day, if you were just looking at the national polls, that things could have the potentia...

Vegas is, the name of which i cannot pronounce. give him those, hes at 265. he still needs to get five more to win. and giving him all those states and a mental exercise. hes probably in behind in at least three of them. maybe a little bit aide in ohio and iowa. but my point is, as dire as things are for trump right now, if it has a little bit of a role nationally and if he can win those five states, hell get the 265 electoral votes and who knows. hes the underdog, he has been all along. he has ...

Unbelievable when somebody asked her about the greatest accomplishments, and she said love. it all comes down to love. nothing else matters. its really hard. there are a couple of those moments, and mark is right. they found one of the two moments where she was a great campaigner. they put it in an ad, and its what makes it so effective. >> i think she also had a good moment at the last debate when she was asked can you name something you like about your opponent, and she talked about his childr...

Back within hailing distance. well wait to see more on national and key state polling. but right now that nbc news/"wall street journal" poll is the marker by which trump has to deal with the reality he faces. >> the conventional wisdom today, as we suggested before, is trumps performance last night just may be halted more runaway republicans from jilting their nominee at the altar. there have been, as we said, no new defections of people saying trump should no longer be the nominee or people di...

That can go terribly wrong. >> and the best part about this campaign is none of us could have made any of this up. if you had told any of where you say wed be in the end of 2015, not believable. >> and 60 days from now well be in a very different place. >> three weeks from now. im ready for this thing to start. >> and things break light. what you need to understand, national polling doesnt mat, state polling matters but things break late. >> so what we saw, of course, last time is with hillary c...