Page 3 - Turnout Models News Today

Jefferson county where a lot of the voters are minority voters, african-american voters. garrett, that cant help the partys image of being an inclusive party and not just being a party for older, white men. >> no, of course not. there is a racial tinge to these remarks of roy moore and how unlikely the turnout models turned out the way they did. yeah. he was an exceptionally flawed candidate and drove these strange turnout models, not election irregularity other than irregular candidate and talk...

Is that true? >> thats thougnot true either because it goes to your turnout models. he also enjoyed -- what was it -- obama was running, was it? yeah. >> yeah, right. so -- >> so, you had tremendous african-american turnout, where you will have it this time, but i dont know that youll have the same money on the ground this time as the obama machine did. >> if judge moore should be successful, this was a problem for the national gop in so far as in 2018, every democrat will link their opponent to...

Even the pollsters say their models are really, really hard to predict. ive talked to dozens of voters who have never voted before in particular, and are voting in this race. the turnout models could be astronomical. leland: as we learned back in november, sometimes the turnout models dont quite work out perfectly. big money though in this race. it appears as though we lost greg from atlanta. its worth pointing out how much money is in this race. 8.3 million dollars raised, and big money against...

Theyll have an increased lack of confidence, i think, in the dnc. the dnc now has said they had a vendor problem. i think that will raise more questions by so many within the democratic party infrastructure on whether or not they can trust the dnc to hold this information and to make sure that information is secure and that candidates across the country are then in a better place to build those turnout models that they need. >> its clear, donna, that the bernie sanders campaign doesnt see the ch...

And now that the dnc is potentially blocking him from this valuable information for indefinitely really, so it really does strengthen his case and could add a lot of fuel to the grassroots fire that we have already seen. >> youre looking at this, kevin, as a republican. you see an extraordinary fight between a democratic presidential campaign and the dnc. i dont remember maybe there have been occasions like this in the past. nothing comes off the top of my mind. i do remember 1972 during waterga...

Important quality that they look for in a candidate is somebody who cares about people like me. so it did work but what are you talking about? >> because it was empathy and fairness and some of these refrans that we heard from democrats. "the washington post" wrote a good analysis. there are few problems democrats are going to run into. first of all, it is totally different turnout models in a mid-term election. looks like the republican electorate is a lot more fired up. polling from democrats ...

Nbcs keir simmons, thank you very much. back to politics now. as we saw in florida on tuesday, the presidents landmark health care plan is having an impact on midterm elections. here is house speaker john boehner and steve israeli tried to frame the republican win. >> its about the economy. its about obamacare. listen. ive stood here after losing some special elections. i tried to put lipstick on a pig but it was still a pig. you can bet they will try to put lipstick on it today but you all kn...

Change the electoral. the conventional -- what they did was they changed the electoral. >> democrats have been trying to downplay this lot in florida. steve israel is the dccc chair, and what he had to say about that. >> in other competitive districts far more competitive than this one, the message been will work. the turnout models will be good. you dont hide from the climate, you fight through it. thats what were going to do. >> robert, is there a danger in reading too much into the results of...

Are finding out, many -- that the democrats may go forward with a discharge petition to basically force republican hands on immigration. and the expectation is that no republicans are going to vote to actually take up the petition but that it will put republicans in a very difficult place. >> its tough to say. i mean, obviously, it hurts more to be on the record, i would say, not supporting the immigration framework that the senate passed that the house will put in discharge petition. certainly ...

In particular will go out and stand in line for hours in order to show the republican party that you will not -- >> i think we can put data on this. in ohio last year, where you had significant shortening of the early voting time and everything, african-americans share of the electorate went from 11% to 15% because people were willing to go and stand in lines. i wonder if you can respond to what jonathan is saying, the message that intentionally or not, the message that is being conveyed to mino...